Obama Saves 5 Million Jobs Through February 2010


I have made some very rough calculations to come to the conclusion that President Obama has saved 5 Million jobs since he got the The American Recovery And Reinvestment Act (ARRA) passed in February of 2009.

Here is how I came to that conclusion. I got the job loss data from January 2009 through February 2010 from the Bureau Of Labor Statistics. Had the job losses for the month before the ARRA act was passed continued through February 2010, the cumulative job losses would have been 9 million jobs. These are the jobs that would have been lost if the rate of job loss had not gotten any worse nor any better without Obama’s actions.

The actual cumulative job loss over that period has been 4 million jobs. So, crudely, we can estimate that Obama’s actions have saved 5 million jobs.

I show the data and my calculations below.

Data from Bureau Of Labor Statistics

Data extracted on: February 17, 2010 (8:45:11 PM)

Employment, Hours, and Earnings from the Current Employment Statistics survey (National)

1-Month Net Change
Series Id: CES0000000001
Seasonally Adjusted
Super Sector: Total nonfarm
Industry: Total nonfarm
NAICS Code:
Data Type: ALL EMPLOYEES, THOUSANDS

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual
2007 194 104 239 92 149 55 -20 -71 52 86 128 70
2008 -10 -50 -33 -149 -231 -193 -210 -334 -458 -554 -728 -673
2009 -779 -726 -753 -582 -347 -504 -344 -211 -225 -224 64 -150(P)
2010 -20(P)
P : preliminary

The following table shows my calculations.

Data Source for Job Loss column is http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet?series_id=CES0000000001&output_view=net_1mth

Job Loss
(thousands)
Projected
Cumulative
Bush
Job Losses
Cumulative
Obama
Job Losses
Difference
Dec-07 70
Jan-08 -10
Feb-08 -50
Mar-08 -33
Apr-08 -149
May-08 -231
Jun-08 -193
Jul-08 -210
Aug-08 -334
Sep-08 -458
Oct-08 -554
Nov-08 -728
Dec-08 -673
Jan-09 -779
Feb-09 -726 -779 -726 53
Mar-09 -753 -1532 -1479 53
Apr-09 -582 -2285 -2061 224
May-09 -347 -3038 -2408 630
Jun-09 -504 -3791 -2912 879
Jul-09 -344 -4544 -3256 1288
Aug-09 -211 -5297 -3467 1830
Sep-09 -225 -6050 -3692 2358
Oct-09 -224 -6803 -3916 2887
Nov-09 64 -7556 -3852 3704
Dec-09 -150 -8309 -4002 4307
Jan-10 -20 -9062 -4022 5040

For whatever reason, the Worcester Telegram & Gazette decided to publish a letter about these 5 million jobs.

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