One Term More
The following video was suggested by EricK.
After it is over, you may stand up and cheer if you are so inclined.
The following video was suggested by EricK.
After it is over, you may stand up and cheer if you are so inclined.
The New York Times has the article Patients Would Pay More if Romney Restores Medicare Savings, Analysts Say.
Some of the wording in this article had me confused, but the bottom line is that Romney’s false claims about what Obama has done to Medicare revolve around Medicare Advantage as I have been saying in many blog posts.
But Medicare Advantage, which was created 15 years ago in the hope that private-market competition for beneficiaries would result in lower prices, has consistently cost more than standard Medicare — costs that Medicare beneficiaries must help subsidize through their premiums.
The reductions for Medicare Advantage providers are “a matter of basic fairness because they’ve been overpaid for years,” Ms. Moon said. As for beneficiaries, she added, “they’re guaranteed basic Medicare benefits. They may lose some extra benefits they may have been getting, but in effect you’re saying some of the windfall benefits may go away.”
“The bottom line,” said Representative Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, the senior Democrat on the House Budget Committee, which Mr. Ryan leads, “is that Romney is proposing to take more money from seniors in higher premiums and co-pays and hand it over to private insurance companies and other providers in the Medicare system.”
As a subscriber to Medicare Advantage since I turned 65 about 3 years ago, I have always realized that it was a waste of government money to subsidize insurance companies this way, but if we were paying for it anyway, I might as well use it. I won’t be sorry to see it go, especially if the savings in my Medicare premiums allow me to buy the miniscule extra benefits on my own.
The post on New Economic Perspectives comes in two parts. Part 1 – Is an Anti-Austerity Alliance of Left Neo-classicals and Post-Keynesians Possible? Is it Desirable? and Part 2 – Is an Anti-Austerity Alliance of Left Neo-classicals and Post-Keynesians Possible? Is it Desirable?
From part 1 is this excerpt:
The advice of MMTers to progressives is to prioritize what government should spend money on and put forward those demands without linking them to the amount of taxes collected in countries that control their own currencies such as the US, UK, Canada, Australia, Japan and China. Secondarily, some in MMT might suggest using taxation as a means for shaping economic behavior and regulating economic inequality, uses of taxation which are considered commonsensical among economists of most schools and political tendencies.
These posts are like a Russian novel. It is hard to keep all the players straight between their atual names and the categories the author puts them in. Also like Russian novels, the post is worth reading if you are really interested in the topic.
A little bit of clarification emerged for me when I read this excerpt from part 2.
The non-economist progressive public sphere, such as it is, is in awe of Paul Krugman but Post-Keynesians and MMTers continue to find critical flaws in his reasoning and model of how the economy works.
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An example of reality vs. unreality and stakes involved revolves around widely divergent theories of banking, debt and loaning money. Critically important in this era of politically overpowerful, mega-banks devoted to casino-like speculation on asset prices, is an understanding of what banks actually are and how they might be regulated or transformed to serve the greater good. The largely Post-Keynesian theory of endogenous money supported by a set of empirical observations of how banks and credit-creation works, suggests that banks create money by lending it and that lending occurs independent of reserves in the bank. Banks have social “license” to lend and use it when they see the potential for profit and loan amounts are not drawn on money in their accounts but the loans create money. This license is a source of political and economic power, enabling banks to drive and shape the economy and the amount of money in circulation by lending or not lending as the case may be. Neoclassicals of the Left and Right deny that this license exists and instead see lending as driven by reserves, a crude “piggybank” model of bank lending with bankers as transparent intermediaries. Krugman and other have started to equivocate on this matter but still do not accept that changes in credit/debt add to or subtract from aggregate demand overall.
Perhaps the biggest value to me of my having posted this is to provide me with a reminder to go back and reread the original posts, try to understand some of the complicated sentences better, and follow up on the many links in the articles.
If you can’t convince people with facts, maybe a little humor will do the trick.
The Kansas City Star has the generally good article Doctors dispute Akin’s claim, but some supporters say it was misunderstood.
If you are wondering about the supporters’ claims to a misunderstanding,
But Tim Wildmon, president of the American Family Association — a nonprofit that describes itself as a pro-family organization — told The Star on Monday that “fair-minded people” know what Akin really meant by his statement. Wildmon speculated that Akin was differentiating between forcible rape and statutory rape, which can be consensual.
“What I read from some medical sources, when a woman is raped, her body shuts down in some respects that may prevent her from getting pregnant,” Wildmon said.
Wildmon adds a new wrinkle, but then goes back to repeat the same stupid statement that got Akin in trouble in the first place.
The part of the article that gets my goat is the statement:
A 1996 study in the American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology, generally considered one of the few peer-reviewed research efforts on this subject, estimated that 5 percent of rapes result in pregnancy.
The above statement tells you nothing about the truth or falsity of the claims of either side. To complete the above half a statistic, there would need to be a statement like, “and it is estimated that X percent of incidents of consensual intercourse result in pregnancy.” If X is significantly higher than 5%, then there could conceivably (no pun intended) be some truth to Akin’s claim. If X is significantly lower than 5%, then it might be true that rape has an enhanced rate of causing pregnancy. If X is not significantly different from 5%, then it might be tru that rape versus consensual sex has no affect on the rate of pregnancy after the act.
So the half statistic has shown that rape may lead to enhanced rates of pregnancy, or it might lead to lowered rates of pregnancy, or it might have no effect at all. In other words, you don’t know anymore about the effect of rape on pregnancy than you did before you read that statistic. You don’t even learn anything about the claim to rarity. Without knowing the number X, you can’t say whether 5% means rare or frequent.
For this reason, I give the article a 5 star rating for proving Greenberg’s Law of the Media – “If a news item has a number in it, then it is probably misleading.”
The press release Elizabeth Warren: GOP Agenda for Women Not Just Wrong, It’s Dangerous on the Warren web site seems to be the source for the words in the image below.
Although the image above looks official, I cannot find it on the Warren web site.
The Real News Network has the video Black Report: No Criminal Prosecution of Wall St. and Who is the European, Romney or Obama? This is one episode in the weekly series The Black Financial and Fraud Report.
BLACK: Well, also, also there’s a track record, and representative Ryan voted for all of the Bush things that are inconsistent with libertarian ideas and are inconsistent with being, you know, a fiscal hawk. So when it was a Republican president, he gave them everything he wanted. And the Republican president, of course, created very substantial deficits. Now, deficits are supposedly the demon,…
As I have pointed out before, saying deficits are bad in one phase of an economic cycle is not inconsistent with saying that deficits are good in a different part of the cycle. However, in the Republicans’ case they are saying deficits are good when they are actually bad, and they are saying they are bad at precisely the moment when they are good. If they would just stick to one story, they would at least be right half the time. Which is not quite as good as shifting your policy at the right time to be right all the time.
If you listen to the whole video above, you will realize that this is further proof of my remarks in my previous post, Paul Ryan – An Unserious Man:
It occurs to me that the mentality that brought you toxic mortgages and the tricks and traps hidden inside them is the same mentality that is bringing you these various Republican economic proposals.
The New York Times has the Paul Krugman piece An Unserious Man.
Mitt Romney’s choice of Paul Ryan as his running mate led to a wave of pundit accolades. Now, declared writer after writer, we’re going to have a real debate about the nation’s fiscal future. This was predictable: never mind the Tea Party, Mr. Ryan’s true constituency is the commentariat, which years ago decided that he was the Honest, Serious Conservative, whose proposals deserve respect even if you don’t like him.
But he isn’t and they don’t. Ryanomics is and always has been a con game, although to be fair, it has become even more of a con since Mr. Ryan joined the ticket.
At first, I misread Ryanomics as a reference to a past President’s economic plan.
Krugman concludes with:
The first sign of trouble has already surfaced over the issue of Medicare. Mr. Romney, in an attempt to repeat the G.O.P.’s successful “death panels” strategy of the 2010 midterms, has been busily attacking the president for the same Medicare savings that are part of the Ryan plan. And Mr. Ryan’s response when this was pointed out was incredibly lame: he only included those cuts, he says, because the president put them “in the baseline,” whatever that means. Of course, whatever Mr. Ryan’s excuse, the fact is that without those savings his budget becomes even more of a plan to increase, not reduce, the deficit.
So will the choice of Mr. Ryan mean a serious campaign? No, because Mr. Ryan isn’t a serious man — he just plays one on TV.
It occurs to me that the mentality that brought you toxic mortgages and the tricks and traps hidden inside them is the same mentality that is bringing you these various Republican economic proposals. In the case of the mortgage fiasco, the big banks got armies of expert lawyers to write complicated contracts that no sane person would agree to if they understood them. Then they went out in droves to sell these things to the rubes. They invented something called liar loans. It wasn’t the borrowers who were lying. It was the mortgage brokers who put in the lies, many times unbeknownst to the borrowers. The same type of people are now doing this scam in the political realm.
Remember that Romney was the one who figured out how to just skirt the laws so that he could take over companies, strip out their assets, rob the employees of their pensions and health care, and then leave the bones of the company on the scrap heap.
If you think these economic proposals make sense, common or otherwise, then you are one of the rubes they are depending on to get elected.
McClatchy has the story Missouri’s Rep. Akin: Pregnancy rare after ‘legitimate rape’.
U.S. Senate candidate Todd Akin of Missouri ignited a firestorm of criticism Sunday when he said in a television interview that rape victims have a biological ability to ward off pregnancy.
“If it’s a legitimate rape, the female body has ways to try to shut that whole thing down,” the Republican said in the interview broadcast on KTVI-TV in St. Louis.
Is this the Republican brand of sex education?
Later Sunday, Akin’s campaign said the congressman had erred.
Erred? In high school or even junior high, such a person would be laughed out of the school yard for his ignorance about sex.
On the other hand, if this were true, Rep. Akin could receive a Nobel prize for inventing a new kind of birth control.
This medical theory of Akin’s is much like the economic theory of the Republicans. You throw around a few technical terms (like secretions and hormones in Akin’s case) to come up with a theory that might sound plausible to a lay person. You ignore the idea that just because it sounds plausible to the uneducated, it doesn’t make it true. To find out if it is true, you actually have to look at the facts of how your theory works out in real life. If it turns out that real life shows that though your theory sounded plausible to you it does not correspond to real life, then you have to admit that there is a flaw in your theory. For something as important as life and death decisions for women or the economy, you don’t risk making policy decisions based on plausibility. With the resources that national politicians on the House Science Committee have (like Akin), you’d think they could find out the truth before they spout off. It doesn’t look like Akin even understands what science is. So how does he get to be on the Science Committee?
The Republicans on the various economics related committee don’t seem to show any more knowledge about economics than Akin seems to show about science.
Four years ago as I had the privilege to travel all across this country and meet Americans from all walks of life.
I decided nobody else should have to endure the heartbreak of a broken health care system. No one in the wealthiest nation on earth should go broke because they get sick.
Nobody should have to tell their daughters or sons the decisions they can and cannot make for themselves are constrained because of some politicians in Washington.
And thanks to you we’ve made a difference in people’s lives. Thanks to you there are folks that I meet today who have gotten care and their cancer’s been caught. And they’ve got treatment. And they are living full lives and it happened because of you.
We’ve come too far to turn back now. We’ve got too much work to do to implement health care. We’ve got too much work to do to create good jobs.
We’ve got too many teachers that we’ve got to hire. We’ve got too many schools that we’ve got to rebuild. We’ve got too many students who still need affordable higher education.
There’s more homegrown energy to generate. There more troops that we’ve got to bring home.
There more doors of opportunity we’ve got to open to anybody who is willing to work hard and walk through those doors.
We’ve got to keep building an economy where no matter what you look like or where you come from, you can make it here if you try.
And you can leave something behind for the next generation, that’s what at stake right now Colorado. That’s why I’m running for President of the United States of America.
That’s why I’m asking for your vote. I still believe in you. And if you still believe in me, and if you’re willing to stand with me, and knock on some doors with me, and make some phone calls with me, and talk to your neighbor and friends about what’s at stake—we will win this election. We will finish what we started.
And we’ll remind the world why America is the greatest nation on earth.
God bless you and God bless the United States of America.