Wolf Richter: The Big Hoax Of The Wall Street Hype Machine
Naked Capitalism has the article Wolf Richter: The Big Hoax Of The Wall Street Hype Machine.
The S&P 500 index keeps bumbling from one all-time high to the next as corporations are issuing record amounts of debt to spend record amounts on buying back their own shares: $160 billion in the first quarter alone, according to CapitalIQ. Borrowing money to buy back shares and hyping it ceaselessly as “returning value to the shareholders” is the most effective way to manipulate up the stock, even if revenues are declining quarter after quarter.
In this climate of ZIRP, any major corporation can do it. The heavy buying during these low-volume times pushes up shares, the hype surrounding the buybacks pushes up shares, expectation of more buyback announcements pushes up shares, the mere idea that shares are being pushed up pushes up shares…. And in the end, the buybacks lower the share count for the all-important EPS ratio.
There may be some good points of hoax mentioned in the article, but I commented on my appraisal of one point in the article.
“And in the end, the buybacks lower the share count for the all-important EPS ratio.”
Thinking as a dividend oriented investor, the buybacks also allow for higher dividends per share. What is wrong with that?
If it is true that non-financial corporate growth is going to be lower in the foreseeable future compared to post-WWII history, then the way for companies to prosper like they did before is to lower their output capacities to match falling demand. Companies can adjust to this new environment while we stock owners can have value inflation in the stock price per share and increasing dividends per share. If this buyback is done with idle cash rather than by borrowing, then it isn’t even mortgaging the future of the company.
What are the flaws in this line of reasoning?
I anxiously await any comment on whether or not there are flaws in my point of view.