Daily Archives: March 27, 2015


Want to better understand why we have a federal deficit?

Friends of Bernie Sanders has posted on Facebook Want to better understand why we have a federal deficit?.

Here is the image they use.

Want to better understand why we have a federal deficit?

Here is my too complex comment:

Please shift the measurement to something important like the unemployment rate, the labor participation rate, and the level of inflation. Adjust the secondary things like deficits and level of taxation to produce good results in the primary things, and we will all be better off.

While these statistics are true and part of the cause of the size of the deficit, it is of course more complicated than this. We may simplify at our peril.

For any situation involving something as complex as the economy, we might be able to determine a proper size for the deficit. We might also be able to determine a proper role of corporate income tax. With a higher level of corporate taxes coming in, we might or might not have a lower deficit as the proper amount for the state of the economy. A lot depends on what companies are doing with the money they are not paying in taxes and a lot depends on what the deficit is being spent on.

When you sell the idea that the deficit is the primary measure of anything significant about the economy instead of how the economy is performing for all the people, then you are likely to be selling a one size fits all solution that probably does not fit all situations.


Wall Street isn’t happy with you, Steven 1

I got an email from Elizabeth Warren.  What she describes here seems to me to be a clear case of bribery.  It is an offer of payment for a quid pro quo.  I think even the Supreme Court still recognizes this as bribery.  Where is our Department of Justice?

Subject: Wall Street isn’t happy with you, Steven
Date: Fri, 27 Mar 2015 18:01:23 +0000
From: Elizabeth Warren <info@elizabethwarren.com>
To: Steven Greenberg

Elizabeth Warren for Massachusetts

Steven,

In 2008, the financial sector collapsed and nearly brought down our whole economy. What were the ingredients behind that crash? Recklessness on Wall Street and a willingness in Washington to play along with whatever the big banks wanted.

Years have passed since the crisis and the bailout, but the big banks still swagger around town. And when Citigroup and the others don’t quite get their way or Washington doesn’t feel quite cozy enough, they quickly move to loud, public threats. Their latest move is a stunner. According to Reuters:

Big Wall Street banks are so upset with U.S. Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren’s call for them to be broken up that some have discussed withholding campaign donations to Senate Democrats in symbolic protest, sources familiar with the discussions said.

Citigroup has decided to withhold donations for now to the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee over concerns that Senate Democrats could give Warren and lawmakers who share her views more power, sources inside the bank told Reuters.

JPMorgan representatives have met Democratic Party officials to emphasize the connection between its annual contribution and the need for a friendlier attitude toward the banks, a source familiar with JPMorgan’s donations said.

That’s right, the biggest banks on Wall Street have made it clear that they expect a return on their investment in Washington. Forget making the markets safer (where they can still make plenty of money) and forget the $700 billion taxpayer bailout that saved them and forget the need to build a strong economy for all Americans. Forget it all. The big banks want a Washington that works only for them and that puts their interests first – and they would like to get a little public fanny-kissing for their money too.

Well forget it. They can threaten or bully or say whatever they want, but we aren’t going to change our game plan. We do, however, need to respond.

According to this breaking news, our 2016 Democratic Senate candidates could lose at least $30,000 because of this decision. Can you help us raise $30,000 to match Wall Street’s money right now – and keep fighting for a Democratic Senate that will work for people instead of big banks?

Now let’s be clear: $30,000 is a drop in the bucket to JPMorgan and Citigroup. Heck, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon makes more than $30,000 in just a few hours.

The big banks have thrown around money for years, spending more than a $1 million a day to hold off Dodd-Frank and the consumer agency. But they are moving out of the shadows. They have reached a new level of brazenness, demanding that Senate Democrats grovel before them.

That kind of swagger is a warning shot. They want a showy way to tell Democrats across the country to be scared of speaking out, to be timid about standing up, and to stay away from fighting for what’s right.

Ok, they have taken their shot, but it will not work.

I’m not going to stop talking about the unprecedented grasp that Citigroup has on our government’s economic policymaking apparatus. I’m not going to stop talking about the settlement agreements that JPMorgan makes with our Justice Department that are so weak, the bank celebrates by giving their executives a raise. And I’m not going to pretend the work of financial reform is done, when the so-called “too big to fail” banks are even bigger now than they were in 2008.

The big banks have issued a threat, and it’s up to us to fight back. It’s up to us to fight back against a financial system that allows those who broke our economy to emerge from a crisis in record-setting shape while ordinary Americans continue to struggle. It’s up to us to fight back against a regulatory system that is so besieged by lobbyists – and their friends in Congress that our regulators forget who they’re working for.

Let’s send the biggest banks on Wall Street our own message: We’re going to keep fighting, and your swagger and your threats won’t stop us. Help us match their $30,000 right now.

Thank you for being a part of this,

Elizabeth

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The New York Times Covers the TPP: A Commentary

New Economic Perspectives has the article The New York Times Covers the TPP: A Commentary by Joe Firestone.

Wikileaks did us all another service yesterday by releasing the “Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP): Investment Chapter Consolidated Text,” and collaborating with the New York Times to get the word out. Jonathan Weisman wrote the story for the New York Times. Apart from providing a very high level and very selective summary of what the chapter says, the article contains talking points used by proponents and opponents of the TPP. I think a close commentary on the article and associated issues would be useful.

My recent post ISDS is a bad deal for America – Part ot TPP “Trade” deal about what Elizabeth Warren said about this. If this wasn’t enough to scare the daylights out of you, then this article in New Economic Perspectives ought to do the trick.

I see a similarity in how this is being justified and fears about it allayed, to what happened in the recent real estate/mortgage/financial derivatives melt down.  I commented on this similarity at New Economic Perspectives.

This is similar to the justification for selling derivative packages of mortgages as being safe.  The proponents did a study of the entire history of mortgages that were created by the normal rules of prudence by banks in the past.  They determined that the rate of default would have to be so far outside of normal, that the likelihood of the derivatives’ failure would be extremely small.  Then as banks started selling these derivatives based on the principles of prudent mortgage origination, the whole reason banks used principles of prudence went out the window.  What was being sold were packages of mortgages based on no history at all for that type of mortgage.  Any ratings on these securities that depended on completely unrelated history was as phoney as a $3 bill.

I hope I have been able to convey to you the similarity and the danger it poses.  It is clear in my mind that the same results will ensue (economic devastation), but I can never tell if others see the inevitability of the same results.