SteveG


The Effectiveness of Large-Scale Asset Purchases

Naked Capitalism has the article The Effectiveness of Large-Scale Asset Purchases.

I think the case is strong that these Fed announcements contain at least some information that is important as a signal about economic fundamentals rather than a pure signal about monetary policy. To the extent that is true, it suggests that the effect of the LSAP programme itself on interest rates is likely smaller than many previous estimates.

Chris Herbert made the comment:

A more important metric, I would think, is what effect QE might have had on productive investment. The rationale for QE was that it would boost investment and thus employment and real goods. A study conducted in Britain on the effects of QE there concluded that it had minimal positive impact on productive investment. My view is that QE was always intended to restore the value of the savings of the wealthy elite. It had nothing to do with boosting employment or investment in the real economy.

This finally prompted this comment from me.

One begins to wonder if John Maynard Keynes is just a figment of my imagination. What part of “No freakin’ customers” do we not understand when monetary easing does not stimulate productive investment to produce more of what there are no customers for?

I guess it took a Milton Friedman to convince us that sane capitalists would invest in more production if we just gave them more money even though there was nobody to buy what they could produce in their existing factories. Capitalists were closing factories and accumulating massive amounts of cash, but Friedman’s teachings insisted that they would reopen those factories if we just gave them more of what they already had plenty of.

And for this, Milton Friedman won a Nobel Prize in economics. If I were an economist with a Nobel Prize, I’d try to keep that a secret. Seems like a lot of Nobel Prizes have been awarded for junk economics.


Facebook Accused of ‘Full-Frontal Suppression of Dissent’ After Independent Media Swept Up in Mass Purge

Common Dreams has the article Facebook Accused of ‘Full-Frontal Suppression of Dissent’ After Independent Media Swept Up in Mass Purge.

While it is reasonable to assume that some of the more than 800 total pages and accounts shut down by Facebook were engaged in overtly fraudulent behavior—such as the use of fake accounts and bots to generate ad revenue—numerous independent media outlets that cover a wide array of issues say they were swept up in the massive purge despite never using such tactics.

Our major hope for unlatching the grasp of the oligarchs on our government and on our news media was to use the internet and social media as a more democratic way to speak to each other. Getting rid of net neutrality was one way for the oligarchy to shut down the people’s voices. Since Facebook, Twitter, and other social media monopolies are part of the oligarchy, I didn’t think their seeming passivity could last forever. How long did we think the oligarchy would let us speak freely?

These concerns are why I did not discontinue my personal political blog when Facebook became so popular. I pay good (well, it’s not that good) money to have my blog hosted rather than depend on the good graces of Facebook.

Have we lost the means of getting a revolution going in the 21st century? We will have to find a crowd funded and staffed social media mechanism.

YouTube has the video THE PURGE IS HERE: Hundreds of political social media pages deleted without warning.

Carey Wedler
Published on Oct 11, 2018
My page of over two million followers (Anti-Media) was unpublished from Facebook today, and I was also suspended from Twitter for no specific reason (Anti-Media was also suspended from Twitter).


RT (Russia Today) has the article ‘Land of censorship & home of the fake’: Alternative voices on Facebook and Twitter’s crackdown.

Alternative voices online are incensed after Facebook and Twitter closed down hundreds of political media pages ahead of November’s crucial midterm elections. Facebook says they broke its spam rules, they say it’s censorship.


How We Think About the Deficit Is Mostly Wrong

The Dreaded New York Times has the Stephanie Kelton Op-Ed How We Think About the Deficit Is Mostly Wrong.

Are the proposed tax cuts a huge giveaway to the rich? Most definitely. Will they, as advertised, create a booming economy with benefits that trickle down to everyone else? I don’t think so. Mr. Trump’s plan will widen the country’s already dangerous wealth and income gaps, and because the gains go mostly to those at the very top, the tax cuts won’t do much to promote broad-based consumer spending or overall job growth.

That’s enough to reject the plan. But it would be unwise to oppose tax cuts, or any other federal legislation, simply because they add to the deficit.

I couldn’t count the number of times I have said that using a faulty argument in support of a good cause is a huge mistake. In this Op-Ed, Stephanie Kelton offers another explanation of why you shouldn’t do it.


Democrats Need To Change The Subject

New Economic Perspectives has the excellent article Change The Subject.

Hard as it might be to bite their collective tongues, what the Democrats ought to do if they take the House this November is to dramatically and forcefully CHANGE THE SUBJECT. Strategically, leading up to the 2020 elections, this would be, by far, the most intelligent and effective course to take. Should the Democrats continue throwing gasoline and flaming matches on the emotional blood-feud which has come to dominate our politics and news cycles, they will be playing directly into the game-plan Donald Trump has imposed on the Republican party—and American politics in general.

The posted the following comment on the article.

Excellent suggestions. When I am thinking rationally, I have repeatedly told anyone in the Democratic Party that will listen, “You can’t beat something with nothing. You can’t win by what you are against. You must establish a vision of what you are for.”

Yes, we are both naive to think that the Democrats will listen or that they really want to win back power with a progressive platform. They really just want to win back power to better serve their corporate paymasters.


Death With Dignity in Massachusetts

Public Forum:

Death with Dignity:

Should Mass. Pass

The End of Life Options Act?

Tuesday, Oct. 23, 6:30pm

Worcester Friends Meeting House

901 Pleasant St.

* David M. Clive, MD, Professor of Medicine, UMass Medical School, Worcester, and Hospice Physician at Good Shepherd Community Care, Newton

* John Berkowitz, Director, Pioneer Valley Death with Dignity

They will speak, show slides and a short video, and dialogue with Q&A from the audience about this important end-of-life healthcare and personal rights issue (Bill H1194 in Mass. Legislature).

* Wheelchair accessible

* Free—donation requested to cover rental cost.

More info: Pioneer Valley Death with Dignity

413-387-8439 johnpberk@gmail.com

*************************************

Links for more info:

ArchBishop Desmond Tutu Speaks Out in Support of Death with Dignity:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4g2BffV3Ga8

Miguel Carrasquillo (1981-2016) of Chicago called for Death with Dignity laws before he died at age 35 of a brain tumor in Puerto Rico with his family:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ehxovh3qhaI

Daily Hampshire Gazette, 8/29/18: Legislative Candidates Gather to Show Support for Death with Dignity

https://www.gazettenet.com/Candidates-gather-to-show-support-for-death-with-dignity-19770617


MODERN MONEY THEORY: How I came to MMT and what I include in MMT

New Economic Perspectives has this marvelous article MODERN MONEY THEORY: How I came to MMT and what I include in MMT by L. Randall Wray.

Of all the wonderful wisdom in the article, here is one quote that hits my hot button of agreement.

Monetary policy is weak and its impact is at best uncertain – it might even be mistaking the brake pedal for the gas pedal.

It is remarkable that an expert on the subject of MMT (sometimes mislabeled as Modern Monetary Theory) should emphasize this truth.

I think it is very important to understand that. From the Keynesian economics I learned from Samuelson’s book in 1he 1960s, the explanation is pretty clear. In other words, you can put on the brakes by taking money out of the economy – people cannot spend what isn’t there. Flooding the economy with money won’t make people spend it if there is not enough worthwhile things (investments) to spend that money on. Or as I say, “what part of no freakin’ customer do you not understand”? Hark back to the old analogy that you can drag something by pulling on its string, but you cannot push an object by pushing on its string. I just cannot fathom how Milton Friedman couldn’t get that simple concept. How could all the economists who were fooled by Friedman forget that basic truth?

In the current economic conditions, there is no additional productive capacity that is worth investing the trillions of dollars flowing into the hands of the rich from tax cuts and and Federal Reserve Bank “stimulative” monetary policy. A lot of that excess money is going into inflating the prices of stocks in the stock market. Companies are using what cash they can get their hands on to buy back stock. In essence the fewer and fewer shares there are, the higher their prices. It is also easier to raise dividends per share when shrinking the actual productive capacity of a company if there are fewer shares that get that dividend. People who own keep their shares in a company rather than selling them back to the company are getting a bigger and bigger piece of a smaller and smaller company. They think they are getting rich, but when the stock market finally crashes back to earth, they will find that they are not so rich after all.


How Hedge Fund Activists Prey on Companies

Evonomics has republished the article How Hedge Fund Activists Prey on Companies: When corporate raiders coopted “shareholder democracy” for their own ends.

In combination, these regulatory changes increased the incidence of predatory value extraction in the U.S. economy. For more than a decade, major public corporations have routinely disbursed to shareholders nearly all of their profits, and often sums equivalent to more than their profits, in the form of stock buybacks, dividends, and deferred taxes while investing less for the future and undertaking restructuring simply for the sake of reducing costs.

This article was an education and a half for me. How many of you can attach a family name to the USA President in the 1990s when much of this got started?


Steve Keen: How Economics Became a Cult

Naked Capitalism has the article Steve Keen: How Economics Became a Cult.

Steve Keen of Kingston University, London gives an important high-level talk on the considerable shortcomings of mainstream economics. Keen argues that a major objective of the discipline is to justify the virtues of markets, which in turn leads them to adopt a strongly ideological posture along with highly simplified models and narrow mathematical approaches to reach conclusions that they find acceptable.


Sometimes (frequently) Steve Keen talks faster than my mind can comprehend, so I take what I can from his talks, and let the rest percolate for a while.

My career experience is also in scientific/engineering software design and support, so I have a little bit of an advantage understanding Keen.


The Critical Difference Between Tim Canova And Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Disobedient Media has the article The Critical Difference Between Tim Canova And Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

While Tim Canova is independently facing off against one of the most corrupt career politicians in the country, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has been busy endorsing them. Cortez has come to represent an example of why and how a supposed progressive cannot survive within the DNC framework with their integrity intact.
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Like Sanders, Cortez illustrates that even a supposed “insurgency” within the Democratic Party ultimately transforms those who pursue it into apologists for the same establishment they claim to fight – by design or accident, the result is the same.

This really is something to be very worried about. When this happens to both Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez, it starts to look like a dangerous pattern.