SteveG’s Posts


The right presses on for welfare drug tests

The Rachel Maddow Show segment is labelled  The right presses on for welfare drug tests.


It is quite an interesting segment even though it has a lot of logical flaws. Let me point out a few that I can remember.

She probably spends more time touting what she says is starting to look like a success of Obamacare enrollments after a slow start than she does on the headline issue. She also compares the Obamacare enrollment record to that of Massachusetts’ experience with its law at start up. Massachusetts’ startup was even slower in its first three months. Part of the implication is that a measurement at three months is barely starting to show the possibilities.

When she finally gets to Florida’s experience with its drug testing law, she makes a big deal of its failure even while explaining that a court decision ended the implementation of the law after three months. No irony here.

She also makes the case for Florida’s failure that they have found that welfare recipients were found to be using drugs at one quarter the rate of the general population. I am at a little bit of a loss as to why this figure is so significant logically. Let’s say that someone thought that the general population were using drugs at a rate that was 1,000 times too great. Would it be a failure of common sense to want to stop part of the population that was “only” using it at a rate 250 times too great, when that was the population that you might have the most influence over? (1,000 and 250 were just numbers I picked to make a point. I make no claim that they represent any real situation.)

Perhaps I picked those numbers because of my experience buying low salt products in the grocery store. Most regular soups give you on the order of 900 mg of salt per serving. That is more than ⅓ of your total daily recommendation in one serving of a component of one meal. Low or reduced salt versions of these soups have as much as 600 mg of salt. That way you only get ¼ of your daily recommended amount from one component of one third of your meals. I think low salt is about 50 mg of salt per serving. So the store’s low salt is over 10 times as much salt as I consider low.

Rachel Maddow’s segment is a bit long. Perhaps she could have left out the easily attacked leaps in logic to make a more compact and more powerful indictment of the people she was ridiculing.

This may also be an example of why such “left wing” shows are not as popular among the “left” as the “right wing” shows seem to be among the “right”. Some of us on the “left” don’t really like defenses of our principles that are logically flawed, when in fact logically sound arguments could be made, and were made by Rachel Maddow.


US economy comparatively strong, study asserts

The New York Times story US economy comparatively strong, study asserts begins with the following paragraph:

Academic heavyweights have been debating whether the United States economy is so sluggish because of too much government stimulus, …

I am confused about which New York Times published this article.  Was it the one in New York City, The United States of America, The Earth?

I don’t think it is my planet where “Academic heavyweights have been debating whether the United States economy is so sluggish because of too much government stimulus,…”

I’d love to see a list of those academic heavy weights.  I  bet I can come up with a far longer list who think the economy is sluggish because of far too little government stimulus of the right kind.

Comparing this crisis to recoveries from similar crises may prove that we have done fewer idiotic things in response to this crisis than in previous ones.  It doesn’t necessarily show that we have done as many smart things as we could have.  Had we had less stimulus than we did, we might have followed more closely the paths after similar crises in which there was a double dip.The loss to the economy is not measured by how less badly we did than in the past.  The measure is how far below crisisless trend we are.  Where would we be if we had been able to avoid the crisis with proper government regulation, less insane deregulation, less political cow-towing to the ultra-wealthy, and less concerted efforts to suppress labor unions?


Top 10 Proofs People Can Be Completely Manipulated Without Hypnosis

Firedoglake has the article Top 10 Proofs People Can Be Completely Manipulated Without Hypnosis.

1. Any article listing the top 10 of anything will be widely read.

I guess we have been had.  There are actually some interesting items, not that #1 isn’t true and interesting.

4. According to U.S.ians the greatest threat to peace on earth is a nation that hasn’t threatened any other, and hasn’t attacked any other in centuries, a nation that suffered horrible chemical weapons attacks and refused to use chemical weapons in response, a nation that has refused to develop nuclear weapons but been falsely accused of doing so by the U.S. government for decades. That’s right: a bit of laughably bad propaganda, regurgitated in variations for 30 years, and the smart critical thinkers of the Land of the Free declare a nation with a military budget below 1% of their own — Iran — the Greatest Threat to Peace.[4] Edward Bernays is cackling wickedly in his grave.

Although Iran’s reputed support for Hezbollah in Lebanon might be considered a threat to someone.  So I have to wonder who is being manipulated,  the people who believe that Iran is a threat or the people who believe #4 that Iran is not a threat?

I started out liking this article, but I must be waking up from my hypnotic trance. So maybe even the title is misleading.


A Simple Economic Truth America’s Super Rich Don’t Want Us to Know About

Alternet has the article originally from Truthout A Simple Economic Truth America’s Super Rich Don’t Want Us to Know About.

The lie is that raising income taxes on rich people and hugely profitable companies hurts economies and even leads to unemployment. The truth is that raising income taxes on rich people and hugely profitable companies actually helps economies and causes companies to hire more and more people, thus lowering unemployment.

I was wondering if i could come up with a sampling of posts on my blog that have made a similar point.

Why We Must Raise Taxes on the Rich August 2011, Buffett Mocks Norquist Idea on Taxes Thwarting Investment November 2012,  Higher Taxes Hurt Job Creators? That’s Malarkey October 2012,  Call Kerry Now: Deficit Panel Seeks to Defer Details on Raising Taxes November 2011, and  How the GOP Became the Party of the Rich November 2011.

This last one is where I decided to stop the list. There is The Wall Street Journal article  1993 Deficit Reduction: a Lesson on Tax Policy mentioned in the post Who Raised The Debt Ceiling. Here is one quote from The Wall Street Journal article.

Reality: Raising taxes on the wealthy is much more likely to reduce the deficit and make more money available to proactively solve America’s problems—and save money in the long run. In addition, it may have absolutely no negative effect on economic growth, jobs or wages.

I wonder how many times this has to be said before the big lie loses its effect.


Rural Mailboxes in Sturbridge

I wonder if anybody else in Sturbridge has had the need to send a similar  letter to the Town Administrator and the Head of The Public Works Department

This is the third time this season that snow plows have taken out my newspaper box.

That wouldn’t be so bad, but my mailbox is another story. It is on a swing away arm and the box itself is 1/8 inch steel plate.  Not only is the box knocked silly on its arm, but the edge of the box takes a direct hit from the snow plow blade each time.  I have to use vice-grips to bend the edge of the box in order to get the door to open.

In the almost 8 years I have been here, I have never seen it so bad.

At almost 70 years old, I am not sure how much longer I can keep up repairing the damage as fast as the damage is caused.

Is there some distance from the edge of the road that I can expect the snow plow blade to not intrude?  The mail box is already 2 feet from the edge of the road.

Notice that this is only January 3rd.  At this rate by the end of the season, I will have bent back the edge of my mailbox so many times, it will probably break off.  When I lived in Bolton, I saw a mailbox attached to the end of an antique artillery piece.  I wonder if a snow plow would keep away from something like that.

Here is a picture of the type of installation that I have.



Outsourcing State and Local Government Services is About Looting

Naked Capitalism has the article Quelle Surprise! New Report Show How Outsourcing State and Local Government Services is About Looting.

As we’ve seen with mortgage servicers, and the Out of Control [report] confirms, one of the approaches used by private companies to meet their profit targets is to cut corners on compliance with the rules and with service levels. And when outsourcing is motivated not by ideology or a belief that savings can be achieved, but by service problems, all too often there’s reason to suspect that the legislation that the supposedly underperforming bureau is executing is cumbersome or poorly thought out. In other words, the problem is being treated as one of government execution, when it’s actually one of bad drafting or overly complicated requirements that won’t go away by fobbing them off to a private company.

Read the full report here – Out of Control.

Keep this in mind when your government local, state, or federal claims that it can save money by outsourcing.  It defies all logic that a private company can perform a service more cheaply and also make a huge profit without taking unconscionable shortcuts.  If it were possible to do this, then the government ought to be able to figure out how to perform the service more cheaply by eliminating the profit and doing the job itself.  If a government run service is not meeting legitimate efficiency criteria, then it should be fixed rather than outsourced.  Whatever incompetence was originally responsible for the failure of the government provider will just be repeated in the letting of the outsourcing contract.  Moreover, the outsourcing contract will be used to hide the malfeasance that could not be hidden under whatever sunshine laws apply to the government entity.


Cancer Research Before Activism, Billionaire Conservative Donor Says

Reader RichardH is bugging me about my stance on MIT and the Koch donation.  I decided to Google a little and found the March 2011 The New York Times article Cancer Research Before Activism, Billionaire Conservative Donor Says.

“I read stuff about me and I say, ‘God, I’m a terrible guy,’ ” he said. “And then I come here and everybody treats me like I’m a wonderful fellow, and I say, ‘Well, maybe I’m not so bad after all.’ ”

I wouldn’t be surprised if RichardH found the article to be nothing to get excited about.  The quote from David Koch above was enough to make me sick.

The thought that giving to MIT and being treated to a standing ovation there would be enough to wipe away any guilt that Koch might feel for his political activities is exactly what I feared that MIT might be doing for him.  The question of how much control he exercises over the hiring decisions and the curriculum at MIT ought to frighten everyone.  The fact that MIT thinks so highly of him that they do not feel the need to publicly clarify the amount of control he has, indicates to me just how little they care about his anti-social behavior as long as the money rolls in.

I can’t remember when I have been so ashamed of my connection to MIT.


At least the Boston.com article Pulling together in cancer fight says the following:

The Koch program provides $250,000 in unfettered funding for six to eight researchers over a three- to five-year period to encourage novel thinking. Recipients are required to be doctors who continue seeing patients and promise to bring new technologies swiftly to the bedside.

Of course, we don’t know what other restrictions may exist on who gets funded. This does show that the donor gets to place restrictions on the university long after the money has been donated.

Perhaps when the disease affects David Koch directly he can leave it up to the science to try to find solutions.  In other spheres such as global warming and economic fairness, science doesn’t seem to hold any significance if it stands in the way of money.  Well, at least we know that he values something more than his own money.


Your can read more about MIT Professor Michael J. Cima.

Prof. Cima was elected to the National Academy of Engineering in 2011.  He now holds the David H. Koch Chair of Engineering at MIT.

Does this mean that the Koch influence extends to all of engineering at MIT?


Here is an excerpt from the July 2012 article from WBUR The United States Of Koch.

As our nation celebrates its independence, two men are bending our government to their will. I speak, of course, of the Koch brothers. Here are 12 things to know about them.

1. They are the fringe 1 percent
2. They own practically everything
3. They think they own their employees
4. They back Scott Brown
5. Right from the start
6. They are already attacking the Court’s health care ruling
7. They are major polluters
8. They are in the climate change denial business
9. David Koch believes global warming is good
10. They were a major force in the Wisconsin recall
11. They host the rich and powerful
12. They are changing our government


Do you think this is the kind of stuff written about David Koch that makes him think he is a terrible guy? You notice that in the excerpt at the beginning of this blog post, Koch does not deny being a terrible guy. He does talk about sometimes feeling like he is a terrible guy and at other times feeling like he is not such a terrible guy.


I wouldn’t want you to think that everything written about the Koch brothers is negative. Here is the December 2012 article from Forbes Inside The Koch Empire: How The Brothers Plan To Reshape America.

Charles’ many critics on the left–including the President of the United States–accuse him of accumulating too much power and using it to promote his own economic interests through a network of secretive organizations they call the “Kochtopus.” Ironically, the Koch brothers believe they’re fighting against power, at least in the political realm. For the Kochs the real power is central government, which can tax entire industries into oblivion, force a citizen to buy health insurance and bring mighty corporations like Koch Industries to heel.

“Most power is power to coerce somebody,” says Charles, in a voice that sounds like Jimmy Stewart with a Kansas twang. “We don’t have the power to coerce anybody.”

The November elections–which David, in a separate interview shortly after the results were finalized, termed “bitterly disappointing”–seem to confirm Charles’ last point. Not even the Koch brothers, who spent tens of millions of dollars during this election cycle (they won’t disclose the exact amount) funding direct political contributions and issue-driven “nonprofits,” could coerce voters to back their candidates. Mitt Romney’s loss was a huge blow to them, both in terms of likely policy outcomes and personal reputation.

But those who think the brothers, older and chastened, will now fade away don’t understand the Kochs. Not a bit. Obama’s victory was just a blip on a master plan measured in decades, not election cycles. “We raised a lot of money and mobilized an awful lot of people, and we lost, plain and simple,” says David. “We’re going to study what worked, what didn’t work, and improve our efforts in the future. We’re not going to roll over and play dead.”

Does this description sound like the Koch’s are the type of people you want controlling your government? It dosesn’t seem like the majority of the electorate in the last presidential election wanted this kind of leadership.

Having watched Steve Forbes run for US President himself, you certainly aren’t thinking that his magazine is some kind of mouthpiece for the left wing.


Extending jobless benefits is the right thing to do says Brookings analyst

The Daily Ticker has the story Extending jobless benefits is the right thing to do says Brookings analyst.

Melissa Kearney, who co-wrote a recent Brookings report “The Importance of Unemployment Insurance for American Families and the Economy: Take 2,” says extending emergency jobless benefits is the right thing to do in an economy where there are three unemployed workers for every job opening.


This is a case of using the right statistic in the right place. You can’t just go by the raw unemployment rate figure, which ought to be enough justification by itself. At the same rate of unemployment, if the number of job openings were significantly higher compared to the number of job seekers, then extending unemployment benefits might not be as wise.


Fiscal Fever Breaks

Paul Krugman’s latest column in The New York Times is Fiscal Fever Breaks.

… in fact, we’d probably be close to full employment now but for the unprecedented fiscal austerity of the past three years.
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Still, does any of this matter? You could argue that it doesn’t — that fiscal scolds may have lost control of the conversation, but that we’re still doing terrible things like cutting off benefits to the long-term unemployed. But while policy remains terrible, we’re finally starting to talk about real issues like inequality, not a fake fiscal crisis. And that has to be a move in the right direction.

If we truly are shifting the terms of the debate, now is the time to keep up the pressure.  Let us not rest on our laurels.  We need to start implementing the next stage while we think several stages ahead.

If he hadn’t been so specific, I might have added the following to my list of favorite quotes:

As the old saying goes, they used Reinhart-Rogoff the way a drunk uses a lamppost — for support, not illumination.

According to my extensive research on Google, the “original quote” is:

Statistics are used much like a drunk uses a lamppost: for support, not illumination.

or

He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp posts — for support rather than illumination.

The first version is attributed to Vin Scully by brainyquote.com.  The second version is connected to Andrew Lang (March 31 1844 – July 20 1912), but wikiquote.com really claims the original author has not been identified


Elizabeth Warren: Why We Must Expand Social Security

Alternet is carrying the article Elizabeth Warren: It’s the Right of Every American to Retire with Dignity — Why We Must Expand Social Security.  The dateline is today and the words are from Elizabeth Warren, but there is nothing new.  It is still a good argument for why we need to expand Social Security benefits.

For a generation now, working families have been squeezed by stagnant wages and rising costs for housing, health care, and college. Even as families have cut back on expenses for things like food, clothing, furniture, and appliances, it hasn’t always been enough; many have been forced to take on more and more debt just to pay for necessities.

One major consequence of these increasing pressures on working people is that the dream of a secure retirement is slowly slipping away. Families haven’t been able to save as much as they used to, and only 18 percent of private-sector workers have defined benefit pensions today compared with 35 percent two decades ago. Forty-four million workers have no workplace retirement savings plan.

I do have a  bone to pick with an idea that Elizabeth Warren keeps repeating.

Social Security works; no one runs out of benefits and the guaranteed payments don’t rise and fall with the stock market.

The Social Security works part is correct.  The part after the semicolon has a grain of truth if you really understand investing, but its implications are totally misleading if you don’t. I left comments on the article.

If the system were run like a really well managed retirement system, the investments would be diversified beyond special Treasury bonds that pay 5% interest. I am definitely not proposing privatizing Social Security, where everyone has to invest in stocks at retail. The successful national, state, and private pension funds don’t have their members do their own investing. In the history of corporate pension funds that were successful over the long-haul, none of them had the members do their own investing.

The individuals who do know how to save and invest for retirement do use the stock market as one of their investment tools, and they also protect themselves from the ups and downs of the stock market. In retirement, you depend on regular dividends from reliable companies. The stock market as a whole and over time historically has returned 10% growth on average, only some of which comes from dividends. The rest comes from capital gains. So you aren’t going to take 10% of your investments out every year in retirement. Under most circumstances, history has shown that it is safe to take out 5% a year and your nest-egg will grow with inflation until you die. This way the 5% a year you take out will also grow with inflation.  You also need a lifestyle with enough flexibility in it so that you can adjust during really major financial disasters if things get so bad that you can’t even get your 5% out without reducing your capital.  I retired in 2006, and we had a severe market  crash only 3 years later.  That is one of the worst things that can happen to you in retirement. I recovered from that quite nicely, thank you very much.

So Elizabeth Warren is not telling the complete truth when she implies that investing in stocks is too risky, without clarifying the rightful place for stock investing in a total retirement strategy. She wrote a book with her financial adviser daughter on how to manage the family budget. Surely she learned enough from her daughter if she hadn’t already known it herself, that pretending that the stock market is too risky for a pension system is to oversell the dangers of an idea that can be used wisely, if you know how.