Daily Archives: January 6, 2013


Pelosi: “Not enough” revenue in “fiscal cliff” deal

CBS News has the story Pelosi: “Not enough” revenue in “fiscal cliff” deal.

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., argued that additional revenue must be included in upcoming deficit reduction deals, calling the revenue secured by the “fiscal cliff” deal “significant” but “not enough.”

“The President had originally said he wanted $1.6 trillion in revenue,” she said on “Face the Nation.” “He took it down to 1.2 as a compromise in this legislation. We get $620 billion dollars, very significant, high-end tax, changing the high-end tax rate to 39.6 percent, but that is not enough on the revenue side.”

I am glad that Pelosi made this clear.  I am sure that many people were ready to claim that the President and the progressives in government got all they wanted out of the fiscal bump negotiations, and now all we need to do is cut the budget.  The “deal” was $1 trillion short on the revenue side.  The “deal” also had some items that only further concentrate wealth in the hands of fewer and fewer people.  This last part is something that is definitely taking our country in the wrong  direction.  This is much worse than first part merely takes us not quite far enough in the right direction.


Smart Machines and Long-Term Misery

An article Will a robot take your kid’s job? in a local newspaper has a subhead “A troubling new study suggests technology will mean downward mobility—especially for the young.”

The study to which it refers is Smart Machines and Long-Term Misery by Jeffrey D. Sachs and Laurence J. Kotlikoff.

The abstract of the study is

Are smarter machines our children’s friends? Or can they bring about a transfer from our relatively unskilled children to ourselves that leaves our children and, indeed, all our descendants – worse off? This, indeed, is the dire message of the model presented here in which smart machines substitute directly for young unskilled labor, but complement older skilled labor. The depression in the wages of the young then limits their ability to save and invest in their own skill acquisition and physical capital. This, in turn, means the next generation of young, initially unskilled workers, encounter an economy with less human and physical capital, which further drives down their wages. This process stabilizes through time, but potentially entails each newborn generation being worse off than its predecessor. We illustrate the potential for smart machines to engender long-term misery in a highly stylized two-period model. We also show that appropriate generational policy can be used to transform win-lose into win-win for all generations.

This downward mobility is only made worse by our new economic rules that concentrate wealth in the hands of fewer and fewer people.  This generational policy that Sachs and Kotlikoff propose is likely the very tax policy that the politics of our country is so divided over.

So, not only does Keynesian economic analysis say that there cannot be a self-sustained economic recovery with this much concentration of wealth at the top, we now have technological changes that make matters even more dire.

If more people fully understood what is at stake in this political argument, it could change a few minds.