Monthly Archives: March 2014


Rachel Maddow Obliterates War-Pig GOP Who Want To Attack Russia!

Crooks and Liars has the article Rachel Maddow Obliterates War-Pig GOP Who Want To Attack Russia! (Video).  The video below is the one they use in this article.


I think the better headline is that “Rachel Maddow goes over to the other side.”

Russia does not like US meddling in Ukraine (US does not like Russia meddling in Cuba). Russia has a naval base in Ukraine (US has naval base in Cuba). A government in the Ukraine that is favorable to Russia is overthrown by one favorable to the west (A government in Cuba that is favorable to the US is overthrown by one more favorable to the USSR). Russia invades Crimea in the Ukraine hoping for support from the local population (The US invades the Bay of Pigs in Cuba hoping for support from the local population.)

The only difference I see is that Russia does have support from a large fraction of the local population. This is something that never happened for us in the Bay of Pigs.


Ukraine: One ‘Regime Change’ Too Many?

While I have been concentrating on my volunteer commitments, I have not been spending time thinking about the Ukraine.  Thanks to MardyS for his posting on his Facebook page. The Consortium News article is Ukraine: One ‘Regime Change’ Too Many?

There is one huge difference between Prague in 1968 and Kiev 2014. The “Prague Spring” revolution led by Dubcek enjoyed such widespread spontaneous popular support that it was difficult for Russian leaders Leonid Brezhnev and Aleksey Kosygin to argue plausibly that it was spurred by subversion from the West.

Not so 45-plus years later. In early February, as violent protests raged in the Ukrainian capital of Kiev and the White House professed neutrality, U.S. State Department officials were, in the words of NYU professor emeritus of Russian studies Stephen Cohen, “plotting a coup d’état against the elected president of Ukraine.”

We all know that Putin has no cause to intervene in Ukraine.

Putin described this move as necessary to protect ethnic Russians and military personnel stationed in Crimea in southern Ukraine, where the Russian Black Sea Fleet and other key military installations are located.

With much less provocation, Ronald Reagan intervened in Grenada to protect US students, but of course there is no parallel here.  If you read the article, you can see that it is even plausible that Russia believes our actions in the Ukraine are an existential threat to Russia.  I don’t believe Reagan had the same fear about Grenada.

Of course we accepted with complete equanimity the fact that Russia allied itself with Cuba even though we had a naval base there.  If you don’t know your history or didn’t live through that time, you might want to check reliable sources to see whether or not I am being sarcastic here (cough Bay Of Pigs).  Although, since I raise the issue of sarcasm, what do you think you will find?

 


Discussion about “Deficit Is Falling Because”

There is much discussion on YouTube about the The Real News Network’s  YouTube video I showed in my previous post Deficit Is Falling Because Of Government Austerity, Not Economic Recovery.

There was one particular comment that I thought exemplified where we are failing to communicate.

Byron Anderson said:

+Fafner888
You remind me so much of Alan Greenspan who didn’t understand the problem with repealing Glass-Steagall, thereby releasing the Wolves of Wall Street who have ravaged honest financial markets; or The Bernanke who testified to Congress that he saw no problem in the speculative housing bubble just prior to it bursting, and causing the 2007-09 collapse. Your ideology has blinded you to the simple fact that debt cannot grow exponentially forever on a finite planet, and money-printing does not magically create wealth and prosperity.  Obama has piled-on more debt in his term than all prior Presidents combined.  The reckoning WILL come and interest rates WILL rise.  When that happens, the game is up.  Good luck to you.

I tried to get to the heart of some of the misunderstanding.

Nobody is saying debt can grow exponentially.  Nobody is saying that money-printing magically creates wealth and prosperity.  If that is what you think we are saying, then we have a real failure to communicate here.  I can try to do a better job at communicating, if you can tamp down your assumption that what I am saying is so ridiculous that I must believe in some of what you  rightly think is ridiculous.

Some people don’t seem to want to believe the part of Keynesian theory that says the economy sometimes needs stimulation.  They ignore or dismiss the part where he says, and sometimes it needs the opposite of stimulation.

How loudly do we have to shout SOMETIMES? I don’t know if putting it in all caps makes it any clearer.

At the current time, public debt (meaning the federal government’s debt) is not growing exponentially.  And you have to realize that public debt and private debt are two different and frequently complementary things.

Creating money does not magically create wealth and prosperity as you say.  If it did, then the Fed’s QE would have fixed the recession.  That is exactly the point that Keynes made.  When printing money doesn’t work, the government actually has to take on the role of buying real stuff.  By real stuff, I mean the real stuff that keeps people employed. The government can always afford to buy real stuff, because it creates the money with which to buy it.  Yes, the FED is part of the government.  So all the FED QE polcy shows is that the FED could create the money needed to buy real stuff. That is why we bring up QE all the time. The QE policy is not that policy of financing the government’s role of buying real stuff.  The FED is buying financial stuff only. The ability to create money could be used for the right policy, but at the moment it is not being used for the right policy.

Sometimes we argue strongly for the point we are trying to make without realizing that we aren’t clearly stating what is the point itself.  We bring up lots of examples which we think proves our point, and fail to realize that the listeners don’t understand exactly what point we are trying to prove with our examples.  In the heat of the argument it pays to stand back and try to figure out where we are failing to communicate.

So let me be clear as to what I said.

The FED’s QE policy is anti-Keynesian.

Please do not blame Keynes when the Fed uses policies that are diametrically opposed to what he prescribed.

Notice my very important word “WHEN”.  Note that the FED does not have the tools that Keynes says should be used.  Only the Congress and Executive branch have those tools.  If and when they use the tools prescribed by Keynes, and if they do not work, then and only then can you place any blame on Keynes’ theory.


Deficit Is Falling Because Of Government Austerity, Not Economic Recovery 2

The Real News Network has the interview Deficit Is Falling Because Of Government Austerity, Not Economic Recovery.  The interviewee is economist Stephanie Kelton.

Stephanie Kelton, Ph.D. is Associate Professor and Chair of the Department of Economics at the University of Missouri-Kansas City. She is also Editor-in-Chief of the top-ranked blog New Economic Perspectives and a member of the TopWonks network of the nation’s best thinkers. Her book, The State, The Market and The Euro (2001) predicted the debt crisis in the Eurozone, and her subsequent work correctly predicted that: (1) Quantitative Easing (QE) wouldn’t lead to high inflation; (2) government deficits wouldn’t cause a spike in U.S. interest rates; (3) the S&P downgrade wouldn’t cause investors to flee Treasuries; (4) the U.S. would not experience a European-style debt crisis.

But what would she know about the subject of the interview?  That last sentence is sarcasm on my part.  I know I have to explain these things to some of my readers.


Upon hearing this brief interview, I remarked to Sharon that the trouble with it is that you have to understand how the monetary system works to know why she is exactly right in what she says. I then read the viewer comments on the interview.

The following comment is typical:

These economists are always blowing smoke. If all that matters is having a “productive economy” and if the govt can really just mail out checks to people without ever worrying about where the money will come from “since America is the only country who can legally create dollars,” then please tell me, O Enlightened Economist, WHY do I have to write a really FAT check to the federal govt every quarter to cover my taxes? Assuming the “unlimited dollars” theory is sound then why does anyone have to pay taxes to the federal govt? Can’t they just create all the dollars they need?

And all the while that economists like this are blathering about their “unlimited dollars” theories of federal spending, citizens like myself who regularly write out checks to the IRS for tens of thousands of dollars know where that money is coming from–it’s coming from OUR damn pockets.

I replied to the comment to see if I could straighten the person out (silly me.)

If you would actually follow the flow of money through the economy, you would find that when you pay your tax dollars to the federal government, they essential rip up the money. The money they spend is new money that the government creates. The collection of federal tax dollars has a number of reasons to be necessary for the economy. Some MMTers believe that having to pay taxes in dollars is what makes the dollar accepted as money. (I don’t buy that argument too much, because there are lots of people in this world outside this country that do not pay US taxes, but still use the dollar as a means of paying debts and accepting payment of debts.) The ability to pull in dollars in taxes is also what allows the government to control how much money is available compared to the amount of goods available so that we don’t have run-away inflation.

With the FED creating $85 billion a month in Quantitative Easying to bail out the financial system, at some point the liquidity that is being pumped into the economy and not being put to use, will start to flow back into the economy. To prevent inflation at that point, this excess will have to be sucked back out in the form of excess of taxes over spending.

There is recorded testimony by Ben Berbanke before a Senate Committee. They asked him where he was getting all the money he was using to buy assets in the QE program. He answered very honestly, “We just create the money.” It was so amazing that these supposed expert Senators didn’t know that and equally amazing that they were flabbergasted at the answer.

The trouble with what Kelton said, is that you have to understand the theory behind her remarks to understand why her comments are exactly correct. In an 8 minute interview, she hardly had time to give you a semester’s worth of economic education.

To understand the diagram –

http://neweconomicperspectives…,

follow the links in my blog post – Diagrams and Dollars: Modern Money Illustrated (Part 1 & 2)


Tell Sec. Kerry: Keystone XL is NOT in our national interest

Credo Action has the web page Deadline: Tell Sec. Kerry: Keystone XL is NOT in our national interest.

Submit a comment right now to send the message that the “game over for the climate” Keystone XL pipeline is NOT in our national interest.

Not only is it not in our national interest, it is not in the world’s interest. I have heard it said that if we don’t build the pipeline, then someone else will make use of this oil.  Fine, let it be on someone else’s conscience, not ours.

If countries around the world see that Canada is having any trouble selling their particularly environmentally harmful oil, then maybe it will give them just a moment’s pause before they embark on a similar project.  It would be a start. Even a moment’s pause us better than no pause.

This is coming from one who considered investing in tar sands oil projects years ago, but was too afraid that the investment was already overpriced.  I didn’t know about the environmental implications at the time.


Venezuela protests: the other side of the story

The UK Guardian has the story Venezuela protests: the other side of the story.

We hear from Venezuelans who did not take part in the recent anti-government demonstrations for their take on what’s happening in the country

I don’t claim that this is any more an authoritative view of what is going on than the reports you hear in our press.

It is worthwhile to consider that the protests like the Arab Spring that toppled the dictatorial governments in the middle east can also be used to topple democratically elected governments.  The CIA has a long history of using these kinds of protests to topple governments in South America that we don’t like.

Read the comments in the article, and try to see the possibilities for truth and lies on any side of the discussion.  If that doesn’t boggle your mind, I don’t know what will.  I guess the only answer is to retreat to your preconceived notions whatever they may be.  I have already decided that mine must be right.