Michael Pettis: Is China Really Turning Away from the Dollar?
Naked Capitalism has the post Michael Pettis: Is China Really Turning Away from the Dollar?
Yves Smith introduces the article with the following comment:
Yves here. This important post by Michael Pettis addresses whether the efforts of the Chinese to diversify their foreign investments away from the dollar will be a negative for the US. Pettis is skeptical of that thesis, and some of his reasons are intriguing. Like quite a few experts, he doubts that China’s role in sponsoring an infrastructure bank will be a game changer, and he also points out, as we have regularly, that the Chinese cannot deploy their foreign exchange reserves domestically without driving the renminbi to the moon (via selling foreign currencies to buy RMB), which is the last thing they want to have happen. A more surprising, but well argued thesis is that reduced Chinese purchases of US bonds would be a net plus for the US. Get a cup of coffee. This is a meaty, important article.
By meaty article, she probably means there is more information in here than most of us can understand and digest in one reading or without additional reading on our part. I handle this problem by recording the link to the article on my blog so I can go back to the article if I am so inclined. The other way I handle the complexity is to assume that if I read enough of these articles, that the knowledge accumulates to the point where you understand more and more of the content of these articles. (That is how I have come to understand some of Modern Money Theory.)
If you don’t read these articles because you cannot understand all of it, then you will only delay the day when you will start to understand the subject matter or postpone that day of understanding forever.
