Daily Archives: August 9, 2011


John Kerry and the Super Congress

Below is an email that I sent to John Kerry.  If you’re a constituent of his, you might want to express your thoughts on this subject to him.  Our economic future may depend on it.

Senator Kerry,

What experts will you be consulting with to ensure that you will not be hoodwinked during the negotiations of the committee?

I have posted on your YouTube Q & A of June 2011, the following suggestion:

“Senator Kerry ought to consult with some real economists – Krugman,  Stiglitz,  Kuttner, Tyson, Reich, Galbraith and the like to find out what this economy really needs for job creation. That is economic demand from the middle class. That is what is missing. A big part of that is the money shifted to the ultra-wealthy, Sen. Kerry, from the Bush tax cuts.”

The Republicans are absolutely going in the completely wrong direction. If you follow them even a little bit, you too will be going in the wrong direction. You need experts to help you make the case that there is a better direction than the one they wish to go in.

Exactly what the Republicans are claiming as job killers, taxes on the wealthy, are actually the job saviors. Without putting more purchasing power in the hands of the middle class, there cannot be a self-sustaining jobs recovery. If you do not know why, either read Robert Reich’s book, “Aftershock: The Next Economy and America’s Future” or have him explain it to you.

Please do not go into battle unarmed.

Give your constituents some hint that this message is getting through to you.

/Steve


Keynes v Hayek

The London School of Economics held a “debate” called Keynes v Hayek. The previous link takes you to the official audio recording of that debate.  It is 93 minutes long. You can also see the video of this event.

I feel that I need to say something about this debate, but it is hard to figure out exactly what it is worth saying.

The debate is all the more frustrating because it is among presumably very intelligent people.  Or at least it is between highly trained people.

A voice vote was taken before and after the debate as to whether the audience would rather have Keynes or Hayek solve the current economic crisis.  In actual fact the Hayek supporters were being asked whether they would prefer to have their interpretation of Hayek’s beliefs used to solve the crisis or their own misinterpretation of Keynes’ beliefs used to solve the crisis.  In similar fashion, the Keynes’ supporters were being asked whether they would prefer to have their interpretation of Keynes beliefs used to solve the crisis or their own misinterpretation of Hayek’s beliefs used to solve the crisis.  This is not a useful question to ask, nor a useful one to have answered.

Furthermore to work under the premise of what Keynes who died in 1946 and Hayek who died in 1992 would do based on what they knew and what they wrote those many years ago is another level of silly.  With the progress in economic research even since 1992, had these two economists been alive and in working condition surely they would have learned something and their prescriptions would have changed. Not only  has knowledge expanded, but the circumstances and the environment are quite different today in ways that neither of these economists could have foreseen.

I would have preferred a discussion that went along the lines of “Given the current situation, what policy would you prefer to employ to solve it and why, and if it should work, what would you do then in the new situation and why?”  I don’t know if it would have been worthwhile to add the question, “If your preferred policy did not work why might it not work, what would you do then?”  In any case, I do not think it added to the discussion to put the labels of Keynes and Hayek on the policies under discussion.

My conclusion is that if this is the way we have to discuss things, then the situation is probably hopeless.

Given that conclusion I do not know whether or not you will gain anything by listening to the “debate”.


Republican’s Refusal On Raising Taxes Costs The Wealthy $7.8 Trillion

The article Global Bonds Gain $132 Billion as Stock Rout Cuts $7.8 Trillion says (among other things),

… yesterday’s stock rout wiped out about $2.5 trillion in global equity values, extending total losses since July 26 to $7.8 trillion.

Put this together with the words in the Standard & Poors downgrade of the US credit rating:

Compared with previous projections, our revised base case scenario now assumes that the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts, due to expire by the end of 2012, remain in place. We have changed our assumption on this because the majority of Republicans in Congress continue to resist any measure that would raise revenues, a position we believe Congress reinforced by passing the act.

I think that S & P is only looking for a couple of trillion dollars more of deficit reduction. Wouldn’t it have been cheaper even for the wealthy to have raised their taxes instead of making them lose trillions of dollars in the stock market?

My friend JohnK said the following:

I think any increase in consumer interest rates as a result of the downgrade should be called the “Tea Party Tax Increase, or, in Washington parlance, the “TPTI”.

I would just change that to say that this loss of wealth could be dubbed the TPTI.

Notice that I classify this post under the category of Greenberg’s Law of The Media which states that “if a news item has a number in it, then it is probably misleading.”