Monthly Archives: September 2011


Occupy Wall Street Protesters Maced / Pepper Sprayed by NYPD Police

I had not seen the video below:


until I saw it posted on The BlueMass Group article NYPD spokesman appears to be full of crap on pepper spray incident.

The larger the screen you view this from, the better able you are to see the specific things pointed out by the overlayed comments. You need to go to YouTube to see as large an image as you can.

Lawrence O’Donnell on MSNBC has more complete coverage and commentary on this story including the video clip above.


Palestine Vote Showcases the Decline of American Power

The article Palestine Vote Showcases the Decline of American Power does not make its best argument when it focuses on the decline of American power.

When it argues that so many other countries disagree with us, that also may not be its best argument.  After all, we have been in the position before of being lonely hold outs for a principled position and we were right to do so.

I think the best argument may be in the final paragraph:

But in large part, Washington’s current difficulties derive from adopting a position contrary to international law and to basic human decency. Israel’s creeping annexation of the West Bank looks suspiciously like Saddam Hussein’s occupation of Kuwait—both being land-grabs that violate the United Nations Charter, Article 2.4. The stateless Palestinians ultimately have no individual rights. No national courts uphold their property deeds or rights to resources such as water. At least if they are recognized by the vast majority of U.N. member states, the Palestinians may gain the standing to sue in national and international courts to stop the ongoing torts being committed against them by the Israeli settler-industrial complex. In standing against this attempt to right an epochal historical wrong to an entire people, Obama puts the United States on the wrong side of history and the wrong side of world opinion. Neither is likely to forgive him.

Being one of the last hold outs for an unprincipled position is not something I can or want to defend.

While I can imagine many Americans focusing on the need for the U.S. to withstand pressure and the need to stick to its guns no matter what, I see a flaw in that stance.  The stance only makes sense if you are right on the merits.  They forget that the main thing is to be on the correct side of the issue whether it is easy to do so or hard to do so.  The issue is not the difficulty of holding a position.  The issue should always be, first and foremost, whether or not our position is right.


Extended Interview of Ron Paul

On The Daily Show, Jon Stewart did an extended interview with Ron Paul.

Part 1

Part 2

Part 3

Occasionally, Jon Stewart gets a word in edgewise to challenge Ron Paul. Ron Paul’s ideas would work so well if only people didn’t act the way they actually do. This is usually the knock on Socialism. In fact the problem applies to any extreme system that requires people to behave in an idealized way.

Sure I can insist on a libertarian system where my property rights are sacrosanct. What do I do if a person with a gun tries to take away my rights? Must I engage in a gunfight, or can I depend on the police department provided by the government that my fellow citizens and I set up in advance to handle this type of problem?

What if a major corporation with billions of dollars of resources tries to take away my property? What chance do I have to fight them off by myself?

If it takes this little thinking about fairly simple situations to see the flaws in Ron Paul’s ideal system, how well would it work when the issues get far more complicated?

As They get older, most people get over these notions of ideal people working in an ideal system. It took Alan Greenspan until well into his 80s or was it 90s before he finally saw the flaws in his similar ideas to Ron Paul’s. Give Paul another 20 years, and maybe he will come to his senses, too.

It is fun to discuss the ideal. I did it in my blog post, Imagine – Total Automation. After the ideal case reveals the upper limits on the possibilities, you need to get back to the real world to discuss what you might actually be able to implement.

Ron Paul does not seem to understand the place of the idealized system with respect to the real world.

And then again, some of his ideas are flat out wrong. Anything he says about the economy, especially the fed, is flat out wrong.


The Real Job Killer: Missed Opportunity

In the article The Real Job Killer: Missed Opportunity Paul Krugman writes:

Something that forces firms to replace capital, even if that something seemingly makes them poorer, can stimulate spending and raise employment. Indeed, in the absence of effective policy, that’s how recovery eventually happens: as the economist John Maynard Keynes put it in his “General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money,” a slump goes on until “the shortage of capital through use, decay and obsolescence” gets firms spending again to replace their plants and equipment.

At the end of my September 2, 2011 blog post Obama halts controversial EPA regulation I made the same point that Krugman is making in his article.

I heard a news report of an estimated cost of the regulations as $19 to $90 billion dollars.  The President was reported to have said that this was too big a burden at this time.  Does he think that the money was going to be used directly to plug up smoke stacks and be burned in the process?  That $19 to $90 billion would have been spent buying pollution control technology.  That would have meant job creation for the people producing and installing the technology.  The money might have had to come from industry’s cash reserves that are sitting idle.  This President apparently understands nothing about economics and how to stimulate an economy.  Why did I ever think he had the intelligence to understand this?

It is nice to have confirmation from a Nobel Prize winning economist about my understanding of how macro-economics works.  (I know, I have intimated before that the title ” Nobel Prize winning economist” is not always proof that you know what you are talking about with regard to economics.)


Elizabeth Warren Endorsed By Russ Feingold

Talking Points Memo has the story Elizabeth Warren Endorsed By Russ Feingold.

“In all my years in the Senate, I always took positions that I believed in, even when my own party tried to stand in the way,” Feingold writes. “I know Elizabeth will be exactly the same kind of senator.”

Sometimes I would get upset with Feingold for opposing some of Obama’s initiatives.  I don’t know if his opposition did more good than harm.  Perhaps he understood Obama’s failings better than I did.

Thinking back to my days as a supervisor/manager, I remember that when you have a failing employee, you need to start discussing the problems with that employee as soon as possible.  If it should get to the point where you have to fire the employee, it should come as no surprise to the employee.  If you didn’t give the employee plenty of opportunities to correct the troublesome performance, then you have failed as a supervisor/manager.

Likewise, all of us who held our tongues when Obama failed us time and again were failing as the voters who elected him.  It shouldn’t have taken three years for us to deliver the message loud and clear that Obama was in danger of being fired.  Yes, it shouldn’t have taken Obama three years to appear to come to his senses.  We may both bear some blame for the delay that may cost him his job.


Riffing on Obama’s Economic Follies

In my previous post Errors Dealing With Economic Recovery Originate With Obama, I used the quote from Brad DeLong’s post:

I learn that Barack Obama was attracted to the idea that on top of our business-cycle demand-driven downturn was a longer-run trend rise in technological unemployment that virtually guaranteed that the recovery would be “jobless”:

[Summers and Romer] were concerned by something the president had said in a morning briefing: that he thought the high unemployment was due to productivity gains in the economy. Summers and Romer were startled. “What was driving unemployment was clearly deficient aggregate demand,” Romer said. “We wondered where this could have been coming from. We both tried to convince him otherwise. He wouldn’t budge.” Summers had been focused intently on how to spur demand, and on what might drive a meaningful recovery…. [W]ithout a rise in demand, in Summers’s view, nothing else would work…. But productivity?… If Obama felt that 10 percent unemployment was the product of sound, productivity-driven decisions by American business, then short-term government measures to spur hiring were not only futile but unwise. The two economists strained their memory… had they said something he’d misconstrued?… After a month, frustration turned to resignation. “The president seems to have developed his own view,” Romer said.

I’d like to talk about what is so wrong about Obama’s thinking.

Obama is short sighted when he thinks, “high unemployment was due to productivity gains in the economy.”  He needs to realize that because of the way our taxes are structured and the rules that have been set up for our economy since 1980, the fruits of increasing productivity flow almost exclusively to the top of the economic pyramid.  The rest of the economy  is left to suffer only the bad consequences of how this economic structure is set up.

In my previous post Imagine – Total Automation, I tried to show that by taking the rise of productivity to an extreme it might be clearer that one could imagine a different outcome is possible for the 98% of the economy that is actually harmed by increasing productivity under the current system.

Where Romer missed making an effective argument, was in saying that “What was driving unemployment was clearly deficient aggregate demand,”  as if that were totally unrelated to the President’s vision of the cause of high unemployment being the fault of increased productivity.

Letting the top 2% of the population take all of the benefits of increased productivity, robs the other 98% of the money needed to buy all that can be produced by this highly productive economy.  This combination is what leads to high unemployment.  Contrary to what Obama was thinking, the high productivity does not inevitably lead to high unemployment.

This flow of all benefits upward is a product of our tax structure and economic rules and regulations created by the government.  Both of these are within Obama’s domain to try to change.  When faced with the thought that “the high unemployment was due to productivity gains in the economy”, he needed to ask himself, so how can we change this outcome of productivity gains without losing the benefits of those gains.

There are plenty of experts around who can explain to Obama how to do this.

When I voted for Obama, I thought of him as a man of vision and great enough intellectual curiosity that he would learn the things he needed to in order to be a success.  In the case of economics, he has been a man of little vision.  He has been completely intellectually unaware that he was not an economics expert. There is no reason why he would have even thought that he was an expert.

Somehow, his erroneous thinking has shifted him from “Yes we can”, to “Oh well, I guess we really can’t” with respect to fixing the economic problems of the country.

He is going to have to work extremely hard in the next 14 months to convince me that he has seen the error of his ways.  So far he blames the discouragement of his natural constituency on themselves.  All the exhortation in the world won’t get these people excited about him again unless he gives them something to be excited about.

The one lesson we learned from Ronald Reagan’s tenure is that when faced with such dire problems, we may not be able to fix them until someone comes along with the courage and the heartlessness to let the economy crash so that it can finally be reshaped in a better way.  With his programs, Reagan was finally able to break the back of OPEC and solve our inflation problems.  Of course, what he and his descendants in the office of President did after  he solved the inflation problem is the proximate cause of our current problems.

In 2012, should I vote for Obama if he shows signs that he is just going to manage to prolong the agony?  Or I should I vote for someone to crash the economy so we can finally go on to the next phase of resolving the issues?   As in Reagan’s case, the actions of the person who solves the problem of economic depression will be taken to extremes and in the long run will swing the pendulum too far in the opposite direction.


Errors Dealing With Economic Recovery Originate With Obama

On Brad DeLong’s blog, the article Review of Ron Suskind’s “Confidence Men” confirms my worst fears about how the Obama administration has dealt with the economy.  That fear is that Obama’s economic policy was anemic not because he didn’t fight hard enough for the right policies.  It was anemic because Obama convinced himself, contrary to all good advice, that the wrong policies were needed and that the right policies were not needed.

On this blog I don’t intend to repeat the information in the articles to which I point.  I want to give you enough information to encourage you to read the whole articles yourself.  This is especially true of this article.  So, keep in mind that in the following you will only get a pale shadow of the information of the whole article.

For the most part DeLong does not think that Ron Suskind did a good job with his book.

And, as Ezra Klein points out, the stories Suskind does tell repeatedly undermine his global narrative claim that the administration’s big problem was that Lawrence Summers was (a) too sure of himself, and (b) so good a debater that he won internal arguments he ought to have lost. If Larry Summers had been winning all the internal policy arguments, Ezra points out, then administration policy would have gone in “the direction Suskind clearly wishes the White House had gone.”

However, DeLong does list quite a few things that he learned from the book.  The following is one of the items I find indicative of Obama’s failings:

I learn that Barack Obama was attracted to the idea that on top of our business-cycle demand-driven downturn was a longer-run trend rise in technological unemployment that virtually guaranteed that the recovery would be “jobless”:

[Summers and Romer] were concerned by something the president had said in a morning briefing: that he thought the high unemployment was due to productivity gains in the economy. Summers and Romer were startled. “What was driving unemployment was clearly deficient aggregate demand,” Romer said. “We wondered where this could have been coming from. We both tried to convince him otherwise. He wouldn’t budge.” Summers had been focused intently on how to spur demand, and on what might drive a meaningful recovery…. [W]ithout a rise in demand, in Summers’s view, nothing else would work…. But productivity?… If Obama felt that 10 percent unemployment was the product of sound, productivity-driven decisions by American business, then short-term government measures to spur hiring were not only futile but unwise. The two economists strained their memory… had they said something he’d misconstrued?… After a month, frustration turned to resignation. “The president seems to have developed his own view,” Romer said.


I found a link to chapter 1 of Confidence Men: Wall Street, Washington and the Education of a President by Ronald Suskind.

The New Yorker has an article on the book titled The Book on Barack.