Monthly Archives: February 2014


Anne Gobi Running For State Senate

Anne Gobi is running to replace retiring State Senator Stephen Brewer.

You can follow (and like) her on Facebook.

I have met Anne Gobi at a number of political affairs in Sturbridge and Wales lately.  She is very energetic. She speaks very candidly about what she has done (voted for) and why.  I have agreed with most, if not all, of the positions she has taken.  Even if there were some position that she had taken with which I did not agree (I don’t have any in mind), I think I would get from her a very reasoned explanation of why she decided to do what she did.

As an example, I had disagreed with the position that Senator Brewer took on Governor Deval Patrick’s transportation bill.  Anne explained to me what were the problems with the bill as presented, and why she voted (as a State Representative) a lower amount of money than the Governor had asked.  She felt that some of the money would be wasted because it covered mostly road construction without considering repairing some aged sewers and pipes that are beneath the road.  If those items had to be fixed later, we would have to tear up the roads that had just been rebuilt to fix them.  A more balanced bill that fixed both roads and some infrastructure underneath them would have been wiser.

She also felt that the bill was not well balanced between the needs of the eastern part of the state and the central and western parts.

There were other reasons she didn’t support the bill, but the two I stated are the ones that resonated with me the most and that I wanted to mention here.  Overall, I thought she made some excellent points, and none of what she said was less than reasonable.


Are Democrats who Propose Cuts to Social Security “Stupid” or Just Doing Risk-Analysis? 1

Naked Capitalism has the story Gaius Publius: Are Democrats who Propose Cuts to Social Security “Stupid” or Just Doing Risk-Analysis? It’s not a pretty story.

I’ll give you the finish to whet your appetite for reading the article.

Naturally there’s a risk with this strategy. Consider the 2012 presidential election. That 4% popular vote differential was not much of a margin, and if Romney hadn’t become “Mr. 47%” in most people’s eyes, it’s conceivable he could have pulled closer. But there’s just no way the Rubins and the hedgies and all their minions are going to allow an anti-billionaire “Warren populist” into the general election. They have to stick with a free-market type.

So the very best they can hope for is a newbie who can lie, pretend to be something he’s not, a man or woman without a track record. (Remind you of someone? Obama in 2008, Kid “Hope and Change” and “Yes We Can”?) That brings out the Hopeful and swells the numbers. Otherwise they just have to go with what’s available and roll the dice. By 2012 no one was Hoping, certainly not in great numbers, not after four years of Grand Bargains and promises betrayed (do click; it’s a stunning list). Many were just voting not-Romney, those who voted at all.

So yes, there’s some risk to this neoliberal calculation and strategy. In 2012 they took the risk and it paid off, in a 4% popular vote victory. Could the strategy still lose occasionally? Yes, but again, given the demographics and with appropriate pushback in the states, it’s increasingly less likely.

And even if it does produce a loss, consider the alternative from the Rubin side of things. What do you do? (1) Put a real FDR in the White House and let him challenge the whole billionaire system, or (2) risk having to count your money in electoral exile for a just few years, then try again?

I don’t see the Rubins of the world ever making the first choice. And I do think they’ve really thought this through. To return to where we started, very few of these men and women are stupid.

Side thought — Keep the above in mind when scoping out the 2016 race. We have a neoliberal front-runner with a track record and an unwillingness to speak on most issues. Where’s the turnout going to come from?


I should add that it is always dangerous to attribute motives to people when you have not asked them for an explanation of their motives.  However, if you want to figure out if their behavior is counterproductive or not, you do have to try to figure out what they intend to produce.


Denunciation Proclamation 1

The Daily Show with Jon Stewart has the segment Denunciation Proclamation.

Andrew Napolitano questions the economic underpinnings of the Civil War and Lincoln’s legacy, but Larry Wilmore argues that tea isn’t the only black thing worth fighting for.


Maybe I am just dense, but I had to hear for a second time the part about “It’s immoral for the government to reach into your pocket and rip away your money from its warm home…”, to get the fabulous point that Wilmore was making.


Why is Inflation So High in Venezuela?

The Real News Network has a two part interview starting with the segment titled Venezuela Protests Reveal Rivalry in Opposition Leadership.


This part of the interview has more to do with analysis of the political situation. There is plenty of room to wonder if the source is completely unbiased. Well, what source is completely unbiased? So take it for whatever you can make out of it. It’s not like what the interviewee is saying is so  unbelievable. It’s just that if you didn’t want to believe what he is saying, you could find your reasons not to.

The second segment is titled Why is Inflation So High in Venezuela?


If you see the interview on The Real News Network Why Is The 2008 Crisis Taking So Long To Resolve?, you find that the low interest rates in the US caused by the Fed’s quantitative easing caused capital flight from the US to emerging markets that paid higher interest. Now with the Fed tapering its QE, some of the capital that went to emerging markets is being returned to the US causing capital flight from the emerging markets.

So at least a part (and I do not know how big a part) of the emerging market capital flight is caused by external factors beyond their control.  Even the countries without the Venezuelan inflation are experiencing problems.  I am sure that the historical base Venezuelan inflation rate only makes things worse for Venezuela.

This is a very complicated situation, and it is not going to be explained in one 15 minute interview with people who may not have an eye on the situation in all the parts of the world that are interacting with Venezuela.  The two part interview that is the subject of this post was conducted by Paul Jay.  The interview about the 2008 crisis was conducted by Lynn Fries.  Both interviews were watched by me, so I may have a bit of an advantage in connecting the two stories that the interviewers conducting these two interviews may not have.

Moreover, the actual key piece of information might not have been in the Lynn Fries interview, but was actually in the paper written by the interviewee, “The Uncertain Future of the World Economy.” Lynn Fries probably read the paper, but Paul Jay may not have seen it.

The key paragraph from that paper started with “The normalisation of monetary policy in the U.S. will also cause problems for emerging economies.”  See the end of my previous blog post.


Are We Getting Capitalism or Feudalism?

This question comes from reading the New Economic Perspectives article America’s Deceptive 2012 Fiscal Cliff – Part 4.  The title of the article does not come close to doing it justice.

To celebrate this as a “postindustrial society” as if it is a new kind of universe in which everyone can get rich on debt leveraging is a deception. The road leading into this trap has been baited with billions of dollars of subsidized junk economics to entice voters to act against their interests. The post-classical pro-rentier financial narrative is false – intentionally so. The purpose of its economic model is to make people see the world and act (or invest their money) in a way so that its backers can make money off the people who follow the illusion being subsidized. It remains the task of a new economics to revive the classical distinction between wealth and overhead, earned and unearned income, profit and rentier income – and ultimately between capitalism and feudalism.

Before I finished reading this article, I had provided a link to it in my previous post What Should We Tax? In that article, I had focused on part 3 of the fiscal cliff series.  I knew that part 4 had more discussion of a wealth tax, but I had no idea that it would be such a strong indictment of the current system.

Above, I only quote the conclusion.  If I had space to include enough of the article’s justification for this conclusion, steam would be coming out of your ears as you read it.  Rather than waste that head of steam here, follow the link to read the article.  You can then marvel at how successfully we as a civilization have been made to forget what we used to know.


What Should We Tax?

I was researching what the Modern Monetary Theorists would think about a wealth tax.  It lead me to the New Economic Perspectives article America’s Deceptive 2012 Fiscal Cliff – Part 3.

Why tax the economy at all? And why financial and tax reform should go together.

Taxes pay for the cost of government by withdrawing income from the parties being taxed. From Adam Smith through John Stuart Mill to the Progressive Era, general agreement emerged that the most appropriate taxes should not fall on labor, capital or on sales of basic consumer needs. Such taxes raise the break-even cost of employing labor. In today’s world, FICA wage withholding for Social Security raises the price that employers must pay their work force to maintain living standards and buy the products they produce.

However, these economists singled out one kind of tax that does not increase prices: taxes on the land’s rental value, natural resource rents and monopoly rents. These payments for rent-extraction rights are not a return to “factors of production,” but are privatized levy reflecting privileges that have no ongoing cost of production. They are rentier rake-offs.
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If the rise in real estate prices (mainly site values) had been taxed, there would have been no financial overgrowth, because this price-gain would have been collected as the tax base. The government would not have needed to tax labor either via income tax, FICA wage withholding or consumer sales. And taken in conjunction with the government’s money-creating power, there would have been little need for public debt to grow. Taxing rent extraction privileges thus would minimize debt levels and taxes on the 99%.
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Today’s central financial problem is that the banking system lends mainly for rent extraction opportunities rather than for tangible capital investment and economic growth to raise living standards. To maximize rent, it has lobbied to untax land and natural resources. At issue in today’s tax and financial crisis is thus whether the world is going to have an economy based on progressive industrial democracy or a financialized and polarizing rent-extracting society.

It may take a while to digest this article and separate our preconceived notions.  Also we have to be careful to not confuse the technical term “rent” from our everyday usage.

Wikipedia has the definition of Economic rent.

In economics, economic rent is an analytic term for the portion of income paid to a factor of production in excess of its opportunity cost. Economic rent should not be confused with the more common term rent; a payment for the temporary use of a good or property.

This definition uses some economics terms that require their own definition before you can fully understand the definition of economic rent.  So rather than go down this rat hole, suffice it to say that economic rent is not the same as the rent we think of when we rent an apartment.

The article does call into question the tax payers rebellion against increasing real estate taxes based on the artificially inflated values of said real estate.  Perhaps we tax payers got hit with the unintended consequences of the success of our rebellion.  As usual, we were tricked into rebelling against the wrong people.  We all had visions of getting filthy rich on real estate – especially in places like California – just like many people now think that they might someday be rich like the 1% are.  Instead, with the fall of real estate values from their inflated values, our mortgaged real estate ownership is feeling more like the proverbial albatross around our necks.

Read on to America’s Deceptive 2012 Fiscal Cliff – Part 4.

But the landowning and financial classes fought back, seeking to expunge the central policy conclusion of classical economics: the doctrine that free-lunch economic rent should serve as the tax base for economies seeking to be most efficient and fair. Imbued with academic legitimacy by the University of Chicago (which Upton Sinclair aptly named the University of Standard Oil) the new post-classical economics has adopted Milton Friedman’s motto: “There Is No Such Thing As A Free Lunch” (TINSTAAFL). If it is not seen, it has less likelihood of being taxed.

The political problem faced by rentiers – the “idle rich” siphoning off most of the economy’s gains for themselves – is to convince voters to agree that labor and consumers should be taxed rather than the financial gains of the wealthiest 1%. How long can they defer people from seeing that making interest tax-exempt pushes the government’s budget further into deficit? To free financial wealth and asset-price gains from taxes – while blocking the government from financing its deficits by its own public option for money creation – the academics sponsored by financial lobbyists hijacked monetary theory, fiscal policy and economic theory in general. On seeming grounds of efficiency they claimed that government no longer should regulate Wall Street and its corporate clients. Instead of criticizing rent seeking as in earlier centuries, they depicted government as an oppressive Leviathan for using its power to protect markets from monopolies, crooked drug companies, health insurance companies and predatory finance.

I am just starting to read this part myself.


US Backing the Destabilization of Venezuela

The Real News Network has the interview they have titled US Backing the Destabilization of Venezuela.  Ok, so maybe the title is a little misleading, but the actual interview is straight forward.  Maybe the US Government isn’t directly involved in the destabalization (the headline never said government), but other forces in the US are probably involved.

Here I quote the bio of the interviewee.

Keane Bhatt is a Washington, D.C.-based activist and writer, and a contributing editor to the North American Congress on Latin America. He has worked in the United States and Latin America on a variety of campaigns related to community development and social justice. His analyses and opinions have appeared in a range of outlets, including NPR.org, The Nation, The St. Petersburg Times, CNN En Español and Al Jazeera. He is the author of the NACLA blog “Manufacturing Contempt,” which critically analyzes the U.S. press and its portrayal of the hemisphere.

I’ll quote just the positive comments about the Venezuelan situation from the interviewee.  I’ll llet you view the interview or read the transcript to swee and hear the other parts.

If you look at unemployment, it’s at a very low point. It’s about, you know, 6 percent. If you look at poverty from 2011 to 2012, Venezuela presided over the sharpest decline in poverty throughout the entire region. So it fell by 19 percent in 2013. Despite the problems of inflation and so on, you have further reductions in the rate of household poverty. So that fell by an entire percentage point over 2013, despite the inflation.

So what you’re seeing is a portrayal of Venezuela as some kind of a chaotic economic basket case. But when you look at a lot of the macroindicators, you’ve had real respectable per capita income growth. Over the past decade it’s been at about 2.7 percent annually. Again, you know, if you look at this historically, poverty has been slashed by half, absolute poverty by 70 percent. The inequality has been reduced so drastically that it’s now the lowest in Latin America.

And to give you a historic perspective, the inflation problems that beset Venezuela now are nothing like the inflation that predates the Chávez era, in which it was much, much higher.

So what you’re seeing is a very distorted and false rendering of what’s taken place in Venezuela during the Chávez years, and even during the Maduro years


If you think only this guy and The Real News Network feel this way about the situation, I have looked up the newspaper story whose image is shown in the video.

The UK Guardian has the story Sorry, Venezuela haters: this economy is not Greece of Latin America.

But how can a government with more than $90bn in oil revenue end up with a balance-of-payments crisis? Well, the answer is: it can’t, and won’t. In 2012 Venezuela had $93.6bn in oil revenues, and total imports in the economy were $59.3bn. The current account was in surplus to the tune of $11bn, or 2.9% of GDP. Interest payments on the public foreign debt, the most important measure of public indebtedness, were just $3.7bn. This government is not going to run out of dollars. The Bank of America’s analysis of Venezuela last month recognised this, and decided as a result that Venezuelan government bonds were a good buy.

On the web page where this article is being displayed are links to other stories from Venezuela that I am going to read. You might also be interested in them.

I think the whole upshot of this post is that, you, too, may be wondering how could Venezuela be having these problems if the Chavez government had not really been nearly as bad as it has been portrayed in the US noise media?  This seems to show that if the US noise media had been deceiving us before, it is quite possible that they are at it again.


If you follow some of the links at The Guardian, the picture gets a little cloudy.

There is the story Venezuela’s poor join protests as turmoil grips Chávez’s revolution.

The poor neighbourhood of Petare in western Caracas is not an obvious hotbed of anti-government sentiment. In the past, its residents have been among the major beneficiaries of Venezuela’s public health and education campaigns, and an economic policy that resulted in one of the sharpest falls in inequality in the world.

But as demonstrations sweep several major cities, even the people of Petare have taken to the streets to protest again surging inflation, alarming murder rates and shortages of essential commodities.

There is also the story Venezuela protests: demonstrators tell us why they’re taking part.

We asked protesters in Venezuela why they have taken part in the anti-government demonstrations. Here is a selection of their views.

If you read the 4 selections, you find that they are all anti-government.  Of course, if these are anti-government protests, that is what you would expect.  (I naively thought that there might be some responses from pro-government demonstrators.)

Of course, we can rationalize either side as being closer to the truth, but we have no real way of knowing.  When the CIA or the powerful multi-national corporations want to foment regime change, they are usually pretty good at covering their tracks or at least having plausible deniability. Still, this observation doesn’t prove anything, one way or another.

To add to the rationalizations, there is a little gem buried in my previous post Why Is The 2008 Crisis Taking So Long To Resolve?

As the Fed has got closer to ending the QE3 and the long-term U.S. rates have edged up, strong downward pressures have started to build up on the currencies, stocks and bonds of several emerging economies such as Brazil, India, South Africa and Turkey, which were widely seen as rising stars only a couple of years ago.

If you follow the trail of where this quote came from and an even older post than that, Tapering of Quantitative Easing Is Throwing Emerging Markets into Chaos, you might see another possibility of the unintended consequences of US policy having very harmful effects on emerging economies. Anyone unaware of this connection could blame the problems on those emerging economies rather than the U.S.


As you read the story of Venezuela’s economic problems, you might want to keep in mind the article from New Economic Perspectives MMT AND EXTERNAL CONSTRAINTS. (MMT is Modern Money Theory.)

To Fix or To Float, that is the question.

MMT argues that a sovereign government that issues its own “nonconvertible” currency cannot become insolvent in terms of its own currency. It cannot be forced into involuntary default on its obligations denominated in its own currency. It can “afford” to buy anything for sale that is priced in its own currency. It might be able to buy things for sale in foreign currency by offering up its own currency in exchange—but that is not certain.

If, instead, it promises to convert its currency at a fixed price to something else (gold, foreign currency) then it might not be able to keep that promise. Insolvency and involuntary default become possible.

As I read the story of Venezuela, I think it looks like Venezuela has tried to fix their currency rather than float it.  They may be learning that they just cannot do that.


Tantasqua School Committee Race

I received this email from one of the candidates for Tantasqua School Committee.  Since he does such a great job of speaking for himself, I am not going to add anything more.

 

——– Original Message ——–

Subject:  It’s A Race!
Date:  Mon, 24 Feb 2014 11:04:56 -0500
From:  Jacob Ryan <jacobjamesryan@gmail.com>
To:  Steve Greenberg
Jacob Ryan Election Poster

Hello Everyone!

I wanted to take a moment to message you all and talk about why I got so involved in Politics and why I am running for the Tantasqua School Committee.

I first got involved in politics at the age of 13. I had grown up until that time with a conservative point of view due to the church I attended, and it wasn’t till Hillary Clinton ran for president that I started to identify as a Democrat. After that loss and Barack Obama’s win in 2008, I began to get deeply involved in races. My first internship at a campaign was back in 2010 in Congressman Neal’s campaign office. I learned at that time how important it is to organize locally to help your candidates win elections and make sure the beliefs you hold deep in your core win as well.

With his re-election complete, I was eager to get involved in more campaigns. In 2011, I got involved with and interned for Elizabeth Warren. Never had there been a time that I had been more devoted to a candidate then when I interned for her. And the night that she won her election to represent the Commonwealth in the Senate, I bawled my eyes out. I continued to cry with Barack Obama’s re-election as well. By this time I knew how to campaign, but I still had much to learn.

I got more involved in town politics in June of 2013. I went to my first town meeting and was very attentive to the issues at hand. One issue in particular caught my attention, Stipends. The BOS had tried to pass stipends for certain elected and appointed officials in the town at the last minute during the budgetary season and the folks at town meeting were deeply opposed. I at the time wasn’t sure about the issue and wanted to have more time to learn about it. So I voted no to the proposal. Then when the town moderator had brought up the idea of a study committee being formed to study the issue of stipends, I was proud to make the motion to create this committee.

With the creation of this committee, I had asked the town moderator to appoint me to be one of the two citizen appointees. When I got the letter from him stating that he was going to appoint me, I was very humbled that he was giving me the opportunity to serve my community. I had the honor of working with some great folks on that committee who really did have the community’s best interest at heart. I was chosen by the committee to be the chair, again a very humbling experience for me. As time had gone on I had grown more opposed to stipends but was able to put those beliefs aside to work with those who I may not agree with to come up with a plan for the voters at town meeting to decide. I found it easier to work with those I may not agree with when I really looked at them as fellow members of the community who cared about the town as well.

With the success of compromise and non-partisanship that this committee showed could happen I was saddened to see how much town politics had devolved to spiteful, hateful speech. And I couldn’t stand by and watch it happen anymore. With the Stipend Study Committee coming to a close and my belief that we needed someone in the community that could work with everyone (no matter their political stripes) I decided to run for local office.

I decided that I wanted to give back to the part of the community that had given so much to me, Tantasqua. I graduated in 2013 with my diploma and CNA certification in hand and was able to do something a lot of students coming out of high school have a had a hard time doing, get a job.

Thanks to Tantasqua’s wonderful vocational program I was able to get a job with good job security during a time of economic hardship. When I was in high school I had the opportunity to serve as the Technical Student Representative on the School committee and really loved praising our vocational program to the committee. My brother is currently enrolled in the computer tech program at the high school and is ahead of his class in getting his certifications. I couldn’t be more proud of him. I want to work with those on the committee and in town to help preserve this great asset to our children. These programs give such a valuable opportunity to our students and should be protected.

I also want to serve as a bridge-builder on the committee. As proved by my time on the stipend study committee, compromise and non-partisanship can be reached but it requires patience and the understanding that those you agree and disagree with are only doing what they think is best for the school and community. With that in mind, I promise to work with my fellow committee members to do what is best for our community and to build bridges not only for us to work with each other on but to allow our next generation to cross those bridges into the next part of their lives.

I am proud to welcome Patricia Barnicle and Ms. Tichy to the race and wish them the best of luck.

I ask for your support because I care deeply about our community and school system and want to make sure the same opportunities that were presented to me are still there for upcoming generation.

Thank You!

Jacob J. Ryan

 

 


Progressive Massachusetts’ 2014 Endorsement Questionnaires

Progressive Massachusetts has created an endorsement questionnaire for candidates running fo the offices of Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Treasurer, and Attorney General.

We asked all democratic and independent candidates for contested statewide offices to submit questionnaires to be considered for our endorsement. As you vet the candidates and study their platforms, use our questionnaires to find out where candidates stand on specific policies that will move our state toward greater economic justice and a renewed, shared prosperity.

On the Progreesive Massachusettsweb page there are links to the responses of candidates for all four of the offices.  Here is the link to 2014 Governor’s Race OMNIBUS PROGRESSIVE MASSACHUSETTS ENDORSEMENT QUESTIONNAIRE RESPONSES.

It is going to be tough to decide on who to choose from this excellent field of candidates.  We should always be lucky enough to face this “problem”.  I hope they don’t get into a mudslinging contest. Such a contest might spoil the chances of enlisting the expertise of the non-winners in the next Governor’s administration.


Why actual ACA ‘victims’ are so elusive

The Maddow Blog has the post Why actual ACA ‘victims’ are so elusive.

Michael Hiltzik speculated last week that there may not be any genuine anecdotes to bolster the right’s claims.
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To a very real degree, it’s tragic to watch the developments unfold in real time. For much of 2013, especially in the months leading up to the open-enrollment period, assorted far-right groups launched an organized campaign to encourage the uninsured to stay that way – on purpose – in order to help conservative organizations advance their ideological agenda. It was a truly offensive display in which wealthy activists on the right urged struggling Americans to deliberately put their wellbeing in jeopardy.

Months later, we’re at a similarly painful moment in the debate, in which many of the same groups and activists are now exploiting people to create misleading attack ads, all in the hopes of keeping people from having access to affordable health care.

Quoting Paul Krugman, the post has the following:

Surely there must be some people somewhere actually being hurt by a reform that affects millions of Americans. Why can’t the right find these people and exploit them?

If and when someone actually does find someone hurt by the ACA, nobody is going to believe it because of all the phony stories that preceded it.