The Real News Network has a 3 part series that begins with the interview titled Krugman is Wrong About the Market and Hot Money – Flassbeck (1/3) .
For most of the interview it is hard to see what was wrong with the quotes of Krugman cited in the beginning. As they kept talking, I kept thinking, “Isn’t this what Krugman said?” Toward the end, you finally get to hear the complaint about Krugman.
FLASSBECK: Yeah, that’s one thing, that’s one factor that’s very important. But, as I said before, it’s not only the U.S. We have zero interest rates in Japan. When the U.S. still had higher interest rate, the hedge funds went through Japan, borrowed money in Japan, and carried it to Brazil and other countries. So it’s always–there’s always a low interest rate country. Or it was done through Switzerland. So it’s not important how it is done.
But the crucial thing in here–I fully disagree with Paul Krugman. Paul Krugman said, you had capital controls in the ’50s and the ’60s under the Bretton Woods system. That’s true, but that’s not the whole truth. The much more important thing is that we didn’t have flexible exchange rates. We have flexible exchange rates, and these flexible exchange rates, with these huge flows of money, of hot money, are going in the wrong direction, they’re going definitely the wrong direction, because countries with a rather high inflation rate, like Turkey or Brazil, get an appreciation of their currencies, and everybody knows that’s absolutely untenable. Every good economic textbook will tell you that the country with the high inflation needs a depreciation. But the flexible exchange rate, the markets, the markets are doing exactly the wrong thing. And Krugman also is shying away from saying this very clearly. And this is the problem.
We had attempts in 2011 in the G20 to talk about a new monetary system, but everybody is shying away from touching this hot issue. This is the hot issue. The markets get the prices wrong. And this has to be addressed head-on. And that means you need intervention, international intervention into the market to avoid the misalignment in the first round, the misalignment driven by the market.
You’ll have to listen to the interview or read the transcript to see the parts that I have left out. The interviewee does hint at some solutions that will be discussed in the other parts of the interview.
I haven’t seen the other two episodes yet to see if this question is answered.
How can the markets be wrong? The people who are driving the market in the direction it is going are making huge profits. So the market is right, and it is always right in the short term. Well, right insofar as what individuals are capable of doing when they all make decisions that are rational for themselves individually. What the individuals in the market and the market as a whole are incapable of doing is making decisions that are right holistically for the society including the factors that are outside the market. The society includes the individuals in the market, but, as I have said, the holistic actins are not actions that individuals can take.