Exclusive: Russia doesn’t have firepower to retaliate against Trump, says ex-Putin aide


Yahoo has the article Exclusive: Russia doesn’t have firepower to retaliate against Trump, says ex-Putin aide.

Russia doesn’t have the financial capability to retaliate to a military intervention in Syria by the US.

That’s according to a former senior aide to Vladimir Putin, who has told Yahoo Finance UK that threats from Moscow of a ‘backlash’ against the US are completely unfounded.

Given “Greenberg’s Law of Idle Threats

Never make a threat you don’t intend to carry out. If you have any doubts about your ability to carry out the threat, do not make it.

Corollary:

If you never test the opposition about whether they make idle threats, then you enable them to ignore this law.

My worst fear is that either Russia’s threat is an idle one, or Trump thinks it is, and will apply my corollary.

Perhaps China is intending to add to Russia’s threat credibility. This is how I interpret Pravda’s news story China supports Russia in diplomatic war against the West.

One can also imagine a Russian retaliation that is not too financially expensive for Russia to carry out without China’s help.


April 11, 2018

I forgot to put in the link to the CNN article Chinese defense chief says his trip to Russia is a signal to the US.

The US should take notice of China and Russia’s increasingly close military ties, a top Chinese official said Tuesday.

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