SteveG’s Posts


The scandals are falling apart

The Washington Post blog has the post The scandals are falling apart.  This one covers all three “scandals”.

I want to emphasize: It’s always possible that evidence could emerge that vaults one of these issues into true scandal territory. But the trend line so far is clear: The more information we get, the less these actually look like scandals.

My sentiments exactly.


Lois Lerner: ‘I have not done anything wrong’

The Washington Post has the article Lois Lerner: ‘I have not done anything wrong’

At a hearing of the House Oversight Committee Wednesday, IRS Director of exempt organizations Lois Lerner invoked her fifth amendment rights, saying she was innocent of any wrong doing.


Some comments on this article suggested firing people from the top on down.

If we are going to fire people from the top down, how about going after the Congress people who have cut $1billion from the IRS budget, then complain that the IRS is responding too slowly, then get all huffy when some people in the agency try to take shortcuts to catch up on the backlog.

The Republican fairness as far as the IRS is concerned also means that the IRS should spend equal amounts of time going over the tax returns of people earning $20,000 a year and the people and corporations earning $1,000,000,000 a year. This is the Republic method of running the IRS like a private corporation. Do all Republican private corporations spend their resources equally on places where they are likely to reap profits and places where they are unlikely to reap profits?

If you want to catch the most tax fraud for your auditing dollars, you go after the places with the highest possible tax responsibility. Especially places that earn big bucks, but pay no taxes. You might also look at organizations that are obviously political, but are claiming social welfare exemptions.

The auditors used search terms including “Tea Party” to find likely applications to concentrate on. If these and other conservative political organization related terms were the only ones they used, then this might be a scandal. Since they also investigated and denied exemption to liberal groups too, it seems unlikely that there was a political motivation here. Since Congress passed laws that said Social Welfare groups claiming tax exempt status could also do some politics, but not too much, did they expect the IRS to process these applications without asking if there were too much political activity?

So the Republican investigators of the IRS have some suspicions. When they have proof of something, then I will start to listen. Until then, it just looks like a witch hunt to me.


Gabriel Gomez’s Qualifications

I have heard Gabriel Gomez tout some of his “qualifications” to be a Senator from Massachusetts.

As a business man, he claims to know how to create jobs.  Unfortunately, he does not seem to understand that private enterprise and the federal government have two very different roles to play in the society and the economy.  We don’t want our government to do what private enterprise is supposed to do.   We also don’t want our government to  shirk the responsibilities that it alone has.

He mimics the Scott Brown meme that he is open minded and won’t judge a bill until he has a chance to read it and understand it.  While I agree that Senators should understand bills before they vote on them, I also know that if you sit back and wait for bills to come to your desk to vote on them, then you have missed the opportunity to shape the bill from the inception.  Maybe some Massachusetts residents are satisfied to send a Senator who will just sit back and pass judgment on what others propose.  I want two Senators who are in the thick of the fight to make the government do what it is supposed to do and solve the problems it is supposed to solve.  Elizabeth Warren is one of those two.  Ed Markey would be the second one.  Gabriel Gomez would partially cancel out Elizabeth Warren.

Gomez was a Navy Seal.  I bet there are lots of opportunities to go on dangerous missions once you are a Senator.  Maybe he could have hopped over to Libya to save our Ambassador.

As far as I know, Gabriel Gomez is not a lawyer, but he wants to go to the Senate to create laws.  Not being a lawyer does not disqualify him, but he does seem out of his league when compared to Ed Markey.

With the ability to get anything done in Washington hanging on whether or not we can stop the Republican filibuster machine, I just cannot understand why we would want to send to Washington a Republican Senator from Massachusetts .  I just hope that the voters of Massachusetts have enough strategic sense to see what a bad idea it is to have yet another Republican in Congress.

Perhaps Gabriel Gomez has better skills than the current crop of Republicans at misquoting other people’s emails without getting caught.  Perhaps they are so blinded by their own hubris that they cannot read straight let alone think straight.


Markey Campaign Events in Central MA from May 23 to May 26

I just received an email from our friendly campaign field organizer, Seth Nadeau.

Hello Team!
As you may remember, I worked with all
of you on the Elizabeth Warren campaign! I am excited to be joining
the Ed Markey team for the final push towards Election Day on June
25th!! I know that you all worked so hard to elect our first women
Senator, and has shown us already that she is the real voice
of the people!
We have another opportunity to send a
progressive voice to the United States Senate with Ed Markey! We
worked too hard last election to sit back now. Elizabeth Warren and
the people of Massachusetts need a partner in the Senate. In order
to see this through, Ed needs your help in the coming weeks…
Here are a few events coming up in your
area:
Southbridge Evening Canvass
Thursday, May 23th 5:30-7:30 PM
Meet in the Southbridge RMV parking lot
Webster Canvass
Saturday, May 25th 11AM-1PM
Meet in the Burger King parking lot
Southbridge Canvass
Sunday, May 26th 1-4PM
Meet in the Southbridge RMV parking lot
Worcester HQ Phone Banks
EVERY NIGHT
256 Park Ave, Worcester, MA
To RSVP to either one of these events,
please sign up HERE orfeel free to call Seth at 774-230-8519 or 03nadeau@gmail.com

There are only 36 days until Election
Day… Let’s do all we can to elect Ed Markey to the US Senate !!

Seth Nadeau

Field Organizer, Southern Worcester County

Ed Markey for US Senate

(c) 774-230-8519

Hard of Hearings

The New York Times has the OpEd piece Hard of Hearings by Gail Collins.

If Congress wanted to help, the members could simplify the law so I.R.S. minions aren’t trying to figure out which groups spend only 49 percent of their resources on politics as opposed to 51 percent.

Or, they could give the I.R.S. more money to do the job it’s stuck with now. The budget has been cut almost $1 billion over the last few years, while its duties have expanded. Next Friday, I.R.S. workers will enjoy the first of a series of unpaid furloughs thanks to that sequester.

Or Congress could just keep holding committee hearings in hopes that investigators will finally discover that the I.R.S. offices in Cincinnati are actually controlled by a pack of left-wing operatives who are not only Obamaphiles but also vampires. Vampires who had no respect for the laws regarding 501(c)(4) status.

Perhaps you thought I was making it up that Congress cut the IRS budget and then complained that the IRS was working too slowly.  Of course, this humorous OpEd is not proof.  She could be joking.  Why would Congress cut the IRS budget and increase its workload?  Nobody in private enterprise would ever lay off people and expect the remaining ones to carry on as if nothing had happened.

Does anybody ever get to hold hearings and ask Congress people to account for their actions?


Watch the Biggest Explosion Ever Seen on the Moon

Wired magazine has the article Watch the Biggest Explosion Ever Seen on the Moon that introduces the following video:


The voice over says that astronaughts on the moon might want to stay inside instead of walking on the moon if such a meteoroid were to hit while they were on the moon.

If this hit were the equivalent of 5 tons of TNT as mentioned in the video, what kind of inside do you think would protect an astronaught?


Confusion and Staff Troubles Rife at I.R.S. Office in Ohio

The New York Times has the interesting report Confusion and Staff Troubles Rife at I.R.S. Office in Ohio.  Here is one small snippet that might give you a feel for what is in the story.

Outside the Cincinnati office on Thursday, employees on smoking breaks voiced many complaints. Pay freezes, mandatory furloughs and the effects of sequestration were all testing their already low morale. But the scandal, some said, had made things worse.

“There’s a buzz in the office about this Tea Party situation,” said Neal Juarez, a case advocate in the Taxpayer Advocate Service. Like several other I.R.S. workers, Mr. Juarez was skeptical that employees in Cincinnati would have acted as they had without some direction from leadership in Washington.

“You know what they say when there’s trouble,” he added. “You know what rolls downhill.”

I don’t suppose any of you who have worked in private industry have ever worked in an understaffed, low morale, poorly managed, Dilbertian organization he sarcastically asks.

You don’t suppose that the continued cutting of the IRS budget by the Republicans in Congress would have anything to do with a setup to bring about just this kind of problem so that they could cut the IRS budget even more?    Sort of like cutting the federal spending budget when the economy is down in the dumps due to insufficient consumer demand.


Here is an actual conversation I had with one of my bosses 10 or more years ago as best as I can remember it:

BOSS: Steve, how long will it take you to get out the next release?

STEVE: I should be able to get it done in 2 months.

BOSS: How sure are you that you can meet that deadline?

STEVE: Pretty sure.

BOSS:  I don’t understand that answer.  You should be 95% certain about every commitment you make, but of course you shouldn’t sandbag either.

[more conversation about the project ensued.]

BOSS:  Now how sure are you about meeting the deadline?

STEVE: I am 95% certain I can meet that deadline.

BOSS:  How can you say that when you just told me that you weren’t so sure not 5 minutes ago?

STEVE: Well, I am trying to figure out what I can say that will make you happy, but I am having a devil of a time trying to do it.

BOSS:  All I want is the truth.

[At the end of the meeting, the boss dismissed everyone and asked Steve to stay behind for further discussion.  Steve still worked in that group for a while longer and received high praise for his professionalism while  the project was being cancelled.  The customer liked the product, but didn’t want to pay for it. After the cancellation, Steve went to work for another group in the same company.  It was like jumping from the frying pan into the fire. There, he told hid boss’s boss that he wouldn’t know quality software if he fell over it.  Only young people who are financially insecure should ever work for private industry these days.  Those of us nearing retirement are just too sassy.]

Buycott

Buycott helps you to organize your everyday consumer spending so that it reflects your principles.
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When you use Buycott to scan a product, it will look up the product, determine what brand it belongs to, and figure out what company owns that brand (and who owns that company, ad infinitum). It will then cross-check the product owners against the companies and brands included in the campaigns you’ve joined, in order to tell you if the scanned product conflicts with one of your campaign commitments.


When we went to the grocery store today, I couldn’t remember why I hadn’t already downloaded this app. I had to search through my Facebook history to find the posting about this that someone had made so I could remember the product name and find its web site. That’s when it all came back to me. The Android version of this is not out yet.

I am hoping the next time I visit the grocery store, I’ll then remember to come back to this post to see if the Android version is available yet.


What Capitalists Really Think About Keynesian Economics

The Japanese stock market has been on a tear in the last few months.  I think it is not a coincidence that the newly elected Japanese Prime Minister got into office on the promise of strong monetary, fiscal, and system revamping to stimulate the Japanese economy.

So despite what capitalists bad mouth Keynesian economics to the press, look at this chart as to where they put their money. The NIKKEI 225 is an index of the Japanese stock market.

NIKKEI225StockChart

If only capitalists would put their mouths where their money is.


It’s Time to Talk about the Burgeoning Robot Middle Class

Technology Review has the article It’s Time to Talk about the Burgeoning Robot Middle Class: How will a mass influx of robots affect human employment?

The elephant in the room is how robotics will play out for human employment in the long term. New robots will take on advanced manufacturing, tutoring, scheduling, and customer relations. They operate equipment, manage construction, operate backhoes, and yes, even drive tomorrow’s cars.

It is time for not just economists but roboticists, like me, to ask, “How will robotic advances transform society in potentially dystopian ways?” My concern is that without serious discourse and explicit policy changes, the current path will lead to an ever more polarized economic world, with robotic technologies replacing the middle class and further distancing our society from authentic opportunity and economic justice.

This article is a terrific adjunct to what I have been blogging about recently.  I am now reading the book Who Owns The Future? by Jaron Lanier as mentioned at the end of my previous post Citigroup’s Corbat Says Spending Needed for Full Recovery.

I have been thinking about the problem of what to do with people if they are not needed for work.  It occurs to me that this is not some kind of issue that we have never faced before and will be difficult to figure out.

I just thought of a huge class of people who do not need to work to support themselves, and they have been with us for a long time. In fact I have become one of them.  I am retired.  If you want to know what people will do with themselves if they don’t need to work to support themselves, just ask a retired person.

Instead of increasing the age for Social Security retirement, we need to be decreasing it.  Just when there is a declining need for the high level of labor participation rate in the economy, we decide that people ought to work longer before they retire. Instead, we need to make it possible for people to build up a large enough nest-egg on which to retire at a much earlier age than is now common.

I suspect that over the long term, I hope, the size of the population will also adjust to the new reality.  When people realize that they can retire at a younger age without the need for their children to support them in retirement, people will naturally start to have fewer children.  The birth rate may drop to less than the replacement rate for a while, at least in more parts of the world, than currently.

Social Security was never meant to be a complete retirement program, or so I hear.  It was meant to be a supplement to your own private plans for retirement.  So, unless we change the idea of Social Security to be more encompassing, then private retirement planning will also have to change.

Who should pay for the extra cost that on a societal level will be affordable because of the great productivity of robots?  The people who are reaping all the benefits of replacing people with robots should have to pay for the societal costs of worker displacement.  This balancing act can only be produced by government action.

I may be the only one who sees it, but this sounds very Keynesian to me.  There is the action that individual entrepreneurs take in replacing people with robots that is completely rational, moral, and profitable on an individual basis.  However, when everyone does it, then it becomes a systemic problem.  The only entity that can rationally, rightfully, and has the ability to balance the system is the federal (and world) government(s).  (The Keynesian part is that individual actions that are perfectly sensible in the individual case cause troubles for the system when everyone does it.  In Keynes’ case, he was talking about trying to save money and cut spending during a recession.  Of course the reverse of this is everybody decreasing saving and increasing spending during boom times is just as problematical and is included in Keynes’ theories.)